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Grex > Agora41 > #17: How much did the U.S. military spend while you were reading this sentence? | |
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| 25 new of 199 responses total. |
slynne
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response 75 of 199:
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Mar 26 19:27 UTC 2002 |
If you increase the level of education in a society, you will often
find that due to shortages of unskilled labor (which results in higher
wages for unskilled labor) things do get automated. The more things get
automated, the more technology replaces unskilled labor, the more
*skilled* labor becomes necessary. What ends up happening is what HAS
happened in this country in the past 100 years. There are many many
fewer jobs for unskilled labor now than there were 100 years ago. But
the unemployment rate isnt higher. In fact, I would be willing to bet
that the percentage of the population that is employed is much higher
than it was 100 years ago and that is due to technological advances.
There is also an argument that people live better now, that rather than
have fewer jobs, the increased production that has resulted from
technology has instead resulted in an increase in what we all consume.
It could have resulted in a decrease in the hours worked but Americans
seem to choose to work longer hours and then have more to consume.
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drew
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response 76 of 199:
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Mar 26 20:06 UTC 2002 |
Re #74:
What slynne has said, mostly. The solution to your "surplus people"
complaint is a shorter work week, which is essentially the reason for having
automation and better technology. It was *never* about there being "enough
jobs". It's about how much time, effort, toil, and other sacrifice is
required, at whatever jobs people might have, in order to get the food,
housing, and other things that people want and need.
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slynne
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response 77 of 199:
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Mar 26 20:40 UTC 2002 |
A shorter work week might not be the solution to "surplus people" that
you think it might, drew. Or at least that is what Kellogg's found out
during the Great Depression. They cut workers down to a 6 hour day in
order to keep more workers employed and found that when they did that,
the average workers *production* remained almost the same. In other
words, the marginal production of that extra 2 hours of work isnt very
much. They kept the 6 hour days for decades after that. I am still not
sure why exactly they went back to the 8 hour day.
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polygon
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response 78 of 199:
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Mar 26 20:46 UTC 2002 |
It is almost always cheaper for the employer to have fewer people work
more hours, since each additional employee entails a lot of fixed costs.
The work week got shorter from 1900 through the mid-1950s because there
was tremendous agitation for the 40 hour week -- it was a big political
and social issue. Around the mid-1950s, there was the sense that the
40-hour week had been won, and the movement disbanded and went home.
Since then, the number of hours of work per week has been steadily
creeping up, in good times and bad. That's why Americans work far more
hours per year than any other first world country.
Minimum wage laws, within reason, contrary to what Russ wrote above, are a
net benefit to low-income workers because the demand for such workers is
highly inelastic. If you raise their pay 5%, the number demanded by
employers doesn't fall by 5% -- but considerably less. This has been
documented even by conservative economists such as David Neumark at MSU.
However, doubling the minimum wage in a short time frame is an experiment
I wouldn't want to try.
We liberals all love to talk about how wonderful things are in Europe.
Sure, there are some things most European countries do that I wish we
could emulate. However, as someone pointed out above, we do have an
underclass problem here that Europe doesn't have to cope with. Moreover,
education and training, while surely important, have not solved this at a
societal level.
I don't know the geographic spread of people who have contributed to this
item, but those of us who live in Washtenaw County, one of America's most
affluent and highly educated areas (no joke!), should be cautious about
generalizing local experiences with minimum wage workers to the whole
country.
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keesan
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response 79 of 199:
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Mar 26 22:14 UTC 2002 |
Chinese office workers clean their own offices. Why should someone have to
do nothing but boring dirty work?
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raven
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response 80 of 199:
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Mar 26 22:52 UTC 2002 |
To Russ and Beady I would point out the logical conclussion of your
argument that social safteynets are bad and inefficent is that life
is better under a dictatorship where there is on "whining" about labor
conditions and environmental degredation. In the new unchecked global
economy in fact investment is flowing away from deomcracies towards
dictatorships for these reasons, the so called race to the bottom.
See:
http://www.globalexchange.org/economy/econ101/survey.html
Is this really the way we want to go, towards an ethos like Mussolini's
that having "the trains run on time," is the important value of the
society?
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gull
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response 81 of 199:
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Mar 26 23:34 UTC 2002 |
Re #73: I've noticed, from observing people I know, that while there are a
lot of jobs that don't require a college education, employers are often VERY
reluctant to hire people who don't have one, even if they're skilled.
Re #78: I think part of the reason the work week keeps getting longer is the
Puritan work ethic Americans have inherited. We also have the least
vacation time, on average, of any first-world country. Yet the same people
who claim to feel burned out on their jobs often spend their vacations
calling into the office on their cell phones. Of course, part of this is
probably also because people are afraid that if they don't appear to be
connected to what's going on and working non-stop, they'll be replaced.
Re #80: Actually, I don't see how that follows. Russ and bdh generally
advocate free markets, which don't usually exist in dictatorships.
Dictatorships *are* good at greasing the wheels of government for the
benefit of big corporations, but that just shows the difference between
being pro-market and pro-corporation. The distinction between the two often
gets lost.
Incidentally, it wasn't Mussolini that made the trains run on time. They
ran on time before he got in power. That's one of those lies that's been
repeated so many times people assume it's true.
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raven
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response 82 of 199:
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Mar 27 00:21 UTC 2002 |
re#81 Then riddle me this why is investment flowing towards authoritarian
regiemes, you did read the article, didn't you?
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gull
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response 83 of 199:
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Mar 27 01:47 UTC 2002 |
I told you, it's flowing towards authoritarian regimes because when you
have absolute power vested in a few people, it makes it very easy for
corporations to get things done.
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raven
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response 84 of 199:
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Mar 27 01:56 UTC 2002 |
Ok sorry misread what you said.
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russ
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response 85 of 199:
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Mar 27 04:32 UTC 2002 |
Re #78: Demand for unskilled labor is inelastic, *over the short
term*. Ditto the demand for gasoline, which is why the OPEC oil
price shocks and the refinery and pipeline problems of 2000 had
such an effect. Over the long term it is radically different.
Exactly how much labor is involved with reaping wheat these days,
compared to using scythes and flails? How much in making hay?
How much labor to pick cherries by hand vs. by shaker?
More to the point, there are a host of competitors for the supply
of quick lunches. Food can be packaged in Mexico, frozen and
sent to vending machines. People can buy it and microwave it
using very little labor except their own. If a hamburger cost
$7 instead of $3 because of mandated expensive labor, you'd see
a lot of the demand for that labor disappear. It would take time
for people to move to the new business model, but I'd give it 3
years at the outside.
Re #80: Social safety nets should be for transient conditions
or those caused by external factors. Trying to fight economic
factors is like King Canute commanding the tide to stay out;
paying people for their personal failures is just plain stupid.
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bru
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response 86 of 199:
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Mar 27 04:33 UTC 2002 |
Do you think there is a relationship in the fact that we as americans work
harder and longer, adn we have the highest standard of living in the world?
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gelinas
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response 87 of 199:
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Mar 27 05:22 UTC 2002 |
Re #71: Unless the law has changed since 1987, you are wrong. Take another
look at #22, s'il vous plait. That will also answer the question in #72.
(Short form: "Yes".)
Michigan exempts military pay (and retirement?) from income tax. The Feds
do not.
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raven
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response 88 of 199:
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Mar 27 08:29 UTC 2002 |
re #86 Boy is that ever a biased statement. The U.S. has the biggest
disparity of incomes of any western country and 43 million people without
any health care at all. If you take and average in Bill Gates, Paul
Allen's, and Larry Ellison's income and assume that GDP/population=best
standard of living, perhaps that is true in average terms (someone want to
talk about medians v.s. means here my stats are rusty). Does this single
monetary variable equal overall quality of life, I think not. I know
Singapore has a very high (perhaps higher than the U.S.?) gdp/population,
yet would most Americans want to live with that lack of freedom? I think
not.
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raven
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response 89 of 199:
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Mar 27 08:57 UTC 2002 |
Just to add fuel to the fire here are some statistics that show the U.S.
has among the lowest standard of living in the western world terms of
health care, teen pregnancies, infant mortality, murder, pollution, etc
Figures are from 1991, the income gap has only grown in that period of
time:
http://www.huppi.com/kangaroo/8Comparison.htm
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gull
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response 90 of 199:
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Mar 27 13:51 UTC 2002 |
Re #86: Do you think vacation time and the ability to relax occasionally
should be considered part of a "standard of living" calculation? I do,
personally. What good is having a lot of money if you don't have time to
enjoy it?
In raw monetary terms it's possible the standard of living of people in,
say, England or Germany isn't as good as in the U.S., but I don't think most
middle-class people from the U.S. would find their standard of living
uncomfortable. It's true the U.S. tends to have more insanely rich people
than any other country, though, and that drives up the average.
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slynne
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response 91 of 199:
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Mar 27 15:40 UTC 2002 |
Re#86 That could have something to do with it. Our standard of living
also could have something to do with the large amounts of natural
resources this country has been blessed with, that we have used to
build an economy that can provide us with a very good standard of
living.
re#87 Ok, I have taken another look at #22 and see that at least in
1987 you were paying taxes. It also gave me a frame of reference
because in 1987 I was working and living on my own for the first time.
I was working in a minimum wage job. In 1987 minimum wage was $3.35 an
hour. You had a net take home pay of $1,076. I had a gross pay of $580
a month. I dont remember what my take home pay was but I think it was
around $400+ The military pay included health insurance, **housing**,
etc. My pay did not include any of those things. Clearly, in 1987
dollars, people in the military were making pretty good money! Sure, no
one was getting rich or anything but it doesnt sound too bad to me.
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drew
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response 92 of 199:
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Mar 27 18:17 UTC 2002 |
Re #85 re #78:
The big mistake people still make when they conclude that increasing the
minimum wage helps the minimum wage workers, is in thinking only of "dollars
per hour" when they should be thinking of "hamburgers per hour".
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polygon
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response 93 of 199:
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Mar 27 18:57 UTC 2002 |
Re 81. Presumably the Puritan work ethic (usually called the Protestant
work ethic) is a constant, and hence doesn't explain the change in work
hours over the last 50 years. Workers in (say) 1955 were closer in time
to the Puritans, and indeed, were more likely to be Protestants than
workers today. Yet the average worker today is doing something like 120
more hours a year than the average 1955 worker.
Re 85. Agreed that in the long term, automation does tend to replace
labor -- and thank goodness we don't have to have millions of people
picking cotton any more. But a lot of the reason for the inelastic demand
for minwage workers these days is that actual wages are usually a small
percentage of costs for minwage employers, given the costs of hiring,
training, and supervising high-turnover low-skill workers, not to mention
the capital costs and licensing fees necessary to build and maintain the
physical plant and equipment that utilizes their labor.
In many settings such as hospital cafeterias, office buildings and
universities, you can ALREADY buy a frozen lunch out of a vending machine
and heat it in a microwave -- and pay significantly less than you would at
McDonald's. However, it is obvious that most people don't consider those
two goods to be perfect substitutes for one another.
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slynne
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response 94 of 199:
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Mar 27 21:49 UTC 2002 |
Also, long term changes in the labor market are MUCH less painful than
short term changes. If a rise in the minimum wage causes a shift in the
demand curve over the long term (increased technology reducing jobs for
instance) people will have time to adjust and actually, it could end up
being better for everyone.
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russ
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response 95 of 199:
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Mar 28 00:06 UTC 2002 |
Way back there: According to what little I was able to find today,
Sweden has a literacy rate of 99%, or an illiteracy rate of 1%.
According to the same reference, the USA has a literacy rate of 97%,
or an illiteracy rate of 3%. I'm sure that this is a very loose
definition of "literacy", and the actual illiteracy rate is much
higher. However, even if both numbers use a consistent definition,
the USA has easily 3 times the resulting costs as Sweden does.
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keesan
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response 96 of 199:
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Mar 28 00:47 UTC 2002 |
Sweden also has a lot of immigrant labor, which may be literate but not in
the official language.
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other
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response 97 of 199:
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Mar 28 02:29 UTC 2002 |
The US has an illiteracty rate of 3% of what? The population of the
world?
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oval
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response 98 of 199:
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Mar 28 02:43 UTC 2002 |
of the amount of words on any given page of text.
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russ
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response 99 of 199:
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Mar 28 04:11 UTC 2002 |
Re #93: So, if recruiting, training and whatnot cost so much,
why isn't it worth it to pay more to increase retention? I'm
certain that *somebody* has tried this since Henry Ford. I'm
equally certain that most such experiments fail, else we'd be
seeing lots of them around. If they fail they were obviously
based on a premise which is wrong, or on circumstances which
cannot be duplicated easily.
There are a number of forces at work in society. Profit motive
and education tend to foster change and flexibility. Tradition
and habit tend to foster stability, even ossification. If you
look at the situation in places like West Virginia and Flint, I
think you'll find that the offering of high wages for unskilled
work led to an expectation that such jobs would always be
available and thus a tradition which valued being just like your
parents. When the coal mines played out and strip mining and
longwall replaced most of the labor on the ones which remained,
West Virginia was left with whole towns of people who had no
skills on which to base a new living; they had never prepared
themselves for anything else. The same thing happened in Flint
when the auto companies changed the way they built cars, to
improve quality and reduce costs to meet the Japanese. The
traditions held by the labor force left them flat-footed,
and they are *still* not up to meeting the challenge head-on.
Over-rewarding people for unskilled work is what creates these
problems; the pressure on business to change increases, while
the pressure on people to change decreases. The reckoning can
be delayed, but not denied; when it hits, it leaves the people
(and their culture/traditions) in the dust wondering what
happened. It creates dead cities like Flint. I'd rather not.
The evidence of my eyes tells me that it's lousy public policy.
I'd much rather have a situation where people have the option
of unskilled labor, but they have to accept the drawbacks.
After the necessity of making a living forces people to get
skills (starting with literacy), they will pass the new ethos
on to their cohort and their children. *We need this*.
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