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25 new of 162 responses total.
tod
response 110 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 1 14:41 UTC 2003

This response has been erased.

jaklumen
response 111 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 2 02:12 UTC 2003

Kazaa Lite maintains an opening page for a Google search, an Internet 
movie database, and some various links.  It's just slightly different.
jep
response 112 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 2 17:45 UTC 2003

How likely is it that an individual user of Kazaa or Kazaa Lite would 
get into legal trouble for receiving and/or sharing files?  I'm getting 
risk-adverse in my old age but it's still fun browsing on-line and 
picking up the occasional old, old download.
goose
response 113 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 2 18:22 UTC 2003

Receiving files?  Not very likely.  sharing files?  Much more likely.
Maybe I'm more paranoid than the average person, but I'm not taking my chances
with either and don't download or share copyrighted material.  Never have.
mynxcat
response 114 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 3 17:42 UTC 2003

This response has been erased.

krj
response 115 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 3 17:45 UTC 2003

There's a whole passle of news stories; there will be an even bigger flood
if the RIAA lawsuits hit in the next few days.
 
p2pnet.net points to this Macworld UK story.  An analyst for Raymond James
& Associates argues that, while it looks like the RIAA's lawsuit threats
may have slowed file trading, the period of the lawsuit threats coincides
with an even steeper falloff in CD sales.
 
http://macworld.co.uk/news/main_news.cfm?NewsID=6800
 
Or, as an essay at musicdish.com pointed out, fear is not going to 
sell CDs.
 
-----
 
The RIAA press release on US CD sales for the first half of 2003 has numbers
even more dire than the numbers in the Macworld article.  The numbers 
indicate that the slide in CD sales is accelerating.
 
In tabular form:         decline in units sold         decline in dollars    
        first half 2002         10.1%                         6.7%
        first half 2003      ** 15.8% **                     12.0%

The story suggests that the crash in CD retailers -- 1,000 stores closed 
in the first half of 2003, the article says -- and the decline in sales 
are starting to feed on each other.   The article says that surviving 
music retail outlets are shrinking their CD inventory.
 
http://www.billboard.com/bb/daily/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=196736
5

-----

Slashdot points to a BBC news article which says that hundreds of lawsuits
from the RIAA are imminent.  The RIAA will offer to settle for $15,000
initially; if the targets of the lawsuit offer any opposition, the price 
of the settlement rises to $50,000.
 
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/3201399.stm


krj
response 116 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 3 18:38 UTC 2003

Billboard story on RIAA press release -- wait a minute, wait a
minute, read the fine print.  The RIAA numbers factor in stock
returned for full credit from all those closed stores, and it
represents product shipped to stores.  Soundscan's numbers, which
measure sales to consumers, show a much smaller decline of 8.5% year
to date.  Pardon me, I have to try to get my head to stop spinning
now.

gull
response 117 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 3 18:47 UTC 2003

http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/54/32636.html

A court in France has ordered EMI to issue a refund to a woman who was
unable to play a copy-protected CD in her car.  Alternatively, EMI can
provide a working copy.  The CD was essentially ruled to be "defective"
under French law.
scott
response 118 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 4 14:03 UTC 2003

Interesting little story from The Register:
http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/7/32658.html

Apparently the Universal Music Group (one of the big five) is going to cut
their CD prices by "up to 31%" in hopes of attracting CD buyers back from DVDs
and file trading.
mynxcat
response 119 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 4 16:23 UTC 2003

This response has been erased.

mcnally
response 120 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 4 16:44 UTC 2003

  We'll see if it really happens.  Record companies have promised to lower
  their prices before but I don't recall ever seeing the effects at the
  record stores..
krj
response 121 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 4 18:34 UTC 2003

Here's the background on the Universal price cut: sorry I didn't get this
summary in earlier.  (Written originally for Utne Cafe a couple of days 
ago:)

-----

As if the recorded music industry did not have enough problems with
slumping sales: now the labels are facing ferocious demands from
their biggest retailers to slash prices.

This is from BILLBOARD, August 16.  Not available online; Billboard
keeps the juicy stuff out of the free section of the public web site.

Quote:
"For more than 25 years, labels have dictated the terms and have taken
the lion's share of the upside.  ((profits))   But Wal-Mart, Best
Buy, Target, K-mart, Circuit City and other discount store chains now
control about 55% of music sales and have finally gained enough
marketing muscle to start driving the business model."

Sources are unnamed throughout the article.  It is reported that Best
Buy, the only big-box store to stock a decent variety of titles, is
threatening to slash its stock to the same level (5000 titles) as the
other big-box stores if the labels do not give substantially on price.

The goal of the retailers seems to be to get new releases under $10
per CD and then catalog CDs priced a few bucks below that.

Some label execs complain that the labels shouldn't be supporting
pricing levels which are destroying CD-only "specialty"
retailing.  "In the past two years, more than 1,000 music specialty
chain and independent stores have closed, according to Billboard
estimates."

"'Soon we will have a marketplace where the people left in business
will only be carrying 10% of the SKU's ((titles)),' a distribution
executive said."

The discount retailers are very unhappy over how music CDs are
selling, especially when compared to DVDs and games.

One interesting side note:  Wal-Mart is insisting that the industry
bring back single CDs for top radio hits.

-----

end of paraphrase and quotes.  Heh.  At Wal-Mart in Pennsylvania last
weekend, I saw stacks of reasonably recent movie DVDs priced under
$9.  Consumers just don't see a reason for well-promoted DVDs to be
significantly cheaper than audio CDs.
So, I believe the Universal price cuts to $12.98 list are quite real:
this will put selling prices at $12 in Borders and $10 at Best Buy.
I expect the other major labels to follow Universal's lead.
 
My questions: what does this mean for independent CD pricing, and what
does it mean for online pricing such as iTunes?

tpryan
response 122 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 4 19:20 UTC 2003

        Well, DUH!, if there are less stores, not wonder there are
less CD sales.
        And before you double-duh me, any stats on where the 
store closed was the major CD retailer in the market?  I'm talking
about markets like Houghton Lake, MI, or Mount Pleasant or 
Houghton, MI?  Places where a big chain replaced the ma & pa
store, or the local chain store, only to later leave town.
<cough>tower<cough>
dbratman
response 123 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 4 20:19 UTC 2003

"The article says that surviving music retail outlets are shrinking 
their CD inventory."

How is a smaller inventory going to get buyers back into their stores?
krj
response 124 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 4 21:23 UTC 2003

Cutting inventory is a rational business response on a product whose
sales are down 30% over three years.   (That's the RIAA's number, from
an sfgate.com story.)   There's a widely reported story -- haven't got the 
link right now -- where a business analyst argues that the slide in 
CD sales is irreversible, no matter what happens in the file sharing wars.

I expect the retailers think that there are few brick-and-mortar
shoppers left who are attracted by a large inventory.   (This is little
comfort to David, who is probably one of those few.)  My guess is 
that most people who want a large inventory have moved to the Internet,
either to authorized online CD sellers or to file sharing.
gull
response 125 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 4 22:32 UTC 2003

That's pretty much what I've done.  My assumption now is that any store
I walk into isn't going to stock what I'm looking for, so I might as
well buy online and save myself the trip.
remmers
response 126 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 5 00:38 UTC 2003

Most of my music purchasing is ragtime, a very specialized niche
indeed.  It's been my assumption for years that any store I walk
into isn't going to stock what I'm looking for.  By contrast,
without expending much effort I can find just about anything I
want for sale on the internet.  Online purchasing is a godsend
for me.  In many instances, I can even listen to samples from the
recording before I buy.  Although stock diversification might
make me *slightly* more interested in going to a record store
and browsing, I can't imagine that the brick-and-mortar stores
can come close to matching the diversity of product that I can
find online.
gull
response 127 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 5 20:37 UTC 2003

A handful of items from The Register today:

First is an editorial about the Universal Music price cuts.  Among other
things, it points out that CD prices have remained constant since they
were introduced, even as volume increased, and that Universal was, along
with other record labels, found guilty by the FTC of price fixing only a
month ago.
http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/7/32690.html

Second is an article about the RIAA's apparent plans to offer amnesty to
small-time noncommercial file traders.  Frankly, this is probably the
only way for them to stick with their enforcement program without
creating a PR disaster.
http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/6/32681.html

Finally, U.S. District Court judge Rebecca Pallmeyer has denied part of
a motion for summary judgement against Skylink Technologies, brought by
Chamberlain Group.  Chamberlain had argued that Skylink was violating
the DMCA by producing garage door opener remotes compatible with
Chamberlain's openers.  Judge Pallmeyer commented, "The homeowner has a
legitimate expectation that he or she will be able to access the garage
even if his transmitter is misplaced or malfunctions."
http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/7/32684.html
krj
response 128 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 5 20:37 UTC 2003

The Washington Post ran a puff piece about Mitch Bainwol, who is 
Hilary Rosen's replacement as the head of the RIAA.  Bainwol, as has 
been mentioned before, is frighteningly well connected; as former 
chief of staff to US Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist, he has direct
access to the most powerful circles in government.
 
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=1804&ncid=1804&e=1&u=/washp
ost/20030905/tc_washpost/a29504_2003sep5
mcnally
response 129 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 6 19:41 UTC 2003

  Today's New York Times has a piece entitled "Aiming at Pornography to
  Hit Music Piracy" which relates the music-industry lobby's new tactic
  in their war against peer-to-peer file sharing networks:  smear them
  by linking them in lawmakers' minds with pornography and then play the
  "won't someone please think of the children?" trump card.

  http://www.nytimes.com/2003/09/07/technology/07PORN.html?pagewanted=2&hp
tpryan
response 130 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 6 22:25 UTC 2003

        Gee, I thought it was mostly children teaching the adults 
how to file-trade.
albaugh
response 131 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 8 16:55 UTC 2003

-----Original Message-----
From: BreakingNews@MAIL.CNN.COM [mailto:BreakingNews@MAIL.CNN.COM]
Sent: Monday, September 08, 2003 12:46 PM
Subject: CNN Breaking News

-- Recording industry files 261 lawsuits against Internet music file sharers,
announces amnesty program for individuals.
krj
response 132 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 8 19:37 UTC 2003

Best story I've seen so far is on Cnet.  The RIAA is promising thousands
more lawsuits.
 
http://news.com.com/2100-1023_3-5072564.html?tag=fd_lede1_hed
krj
response 133 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 8 22:05 UTC 2003

It was thought that the RIAA was fishing for unsympathetic defendants after
it subpoenaed names from the ISPs.  I guess they didn't filter well;
the first publicized defendant is a 71-year-old grandfather who says 
his grandkids did it:
 
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/news/archive/2003/09/08/state1547E
DT0101.DTL
gull
response 134 of 162: Mark Unseen   Sep 9 13:35 UTC 2003

I'm a little suspicious of the RIAA's amnesty program.  It seems to me
that what you're doing is identifying yourself to them and admitting
guilt, thus saving them a lot of work if they ever want to prosecute you.
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