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Invitation to Punditry
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Oct 19 21:13 UTC 2000 |
Practice Punditry! Predict the Election!
Win Nominal Prizes and Fleeting Acclaim Among Local Politicos!
If you already know how the election will turn out, here's your chance
to demonstrate your prescience to us all. Simply indicate the winners
in each of the races below, and send it in. Only one entry per person,
please. All entries must be delivered by postal mail or email by
Election Eve, Monday, November 6, to Lawrence Kestenbaum, P.O. Box
2563, Ann Arbor, MI 48106, or polygon@potifos.com. If you're going to
print this out and mail it in, you might prefer the HTML version,
http://www.potifos.com/pundit.html
Scoring: one point for getting a result correct. One additional point
if you were right and the majority of entrants were wrong. And a
third point if you were the ONLY one to call that race correctly.
Some of the races are handicapped by doubling the underdog's vote.
Questions marked with ****'s score four times the other questions.
Individual states in Part 3 score one-quarter the value of the other
questions. Highest point total wins in each category, based on the
best information available on Wednesday evening, November 9.
Prizes and acclaim will be awarded as follows: (1) The "Presidential
Prognosticator Prize" for the best entry on the presidential race.
(2) The "Michigan Maven Medal" for the best entry on Michigan
statewide races. (3) The "Washtenaw Wonder Wreath" for the best entry
on county and local races. (4) And finally, the coveted "Pundit of
the Year Award" (including a gift certificate to a local restaurant)
for the best entry overall.
Winners will be announced at the Kestenbaum for County Commission
post-election fundraising party, which will be held starting at 7:00
pm, Wednesday, November 9, at the Democratic Coordinated Campaign HQ,
325 E. Liberty St., Ann Arbor. Entering is FREE; you need not be
present to win; you need not donate to attend. Feel free to copy and
distribute this flyer to other interested persons.
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1a. Local government races (check one in each)
Ann Arbor Mayor****
___ Rapundalo (R)
___ Hieftje (D)
Ann Arbor 1st Ward City Council
___ Robinson (D)
___ Ramirez (I)
Ann Arbor 3rd Ward City Council
___ Carlberg (D, inc)
___ Vandermade (R)
Ann Arbor 4th Ward City Council
___ Hartwell (D, inc)
___ Harshe (R)
Ann Arbor 5th Ward City Council
___ Easthope (D)
___ Hagopian (R)
Pittsfield Twp Supervisor
___ Walter (D)
___ Chockley (R)
County Commissioner 1st
___ Yekulis (R, inc)
___ Burkhardt (D)
County Commissioner 2nd
___ Kern (D, inc)
___ Kruzel (R)
County Commissioner 5th
___ Bergman (D, inc)
___ Gass (R)
County Commissioner 6th
___ Bartok (R)
___ Sizemore (D)
County Commissioner 7th
___ Jones (R)
___ Prater (D)
County Commissioner 9th
___ Armentrout (D, inc)
___ Barth (R)
County Proposal A (Court facilities)
___ Win
___ Lose
County Proposal B (Buy natural areas)****
___ Win
___ Lose
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1b. Local legislative races (check one in each)
State Rep 52nd
___ Hansen (D, inc)
___ Wojack (R) TIMES 2
State Rep 53rd
___ Kolb (D)
___ Bykowski (R) TIMES 2
U.S. House 8th****
___ Byrum (D)
___ Rogers (R)
U.S. House 13th
___ Rivers (D, inc)
___ Berry (R) TIMES 2
Washtenaw Wreath tiebreaker: Ralph Nader's percentage of the county's
vote for president (to three decimal places): ___ . ______ %
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
2. State races (check one in each)
President (Michigan)
___ Gore (D)
___ Bush (R)
U.S. Senator
___ Abraham (R, inc)
___ Stabenow (D)
Supreme Court - 8 year term
___ Taylor (R, inc)
___ Robinson (D)
Supreme Court - 4 year term
___ Markman (R, inc)
___ Thomas (D)
Supreme Court - 2 year term
___ Young (R, inc)
___ Fitzgerald (D)
Control of Mich House****
___ Rep
___ Dem or tie
State Proposal 00-1 (Vouchers)****
___ Win
___ Lose
State Proposal 00-2 (Local Votes Count)
___ Win
___ Lose
Michigan Medal tiebreaker: Ralph Nader's percentage of the state's
vote for president (to three decimal places): ___ . ______ %
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3. President
Overall outcome (check one)****
___ Gore wins popular and electoral vote
___ Bush wins popular and electoral vote
___ Gore wins popular vote; Bush wins electoral vote
___ Bush wins popular vote, Gore wins electoral vote
___ Any other outcome
Outcome state-by-state (indicate D or R for each state; D.C. has
already been filled in for you):
Note: the results in 1988, 1992 and 1996 are given in parentheses.
A state which supported the winners in all three of those presidential
elections would be listed as "(RDD)".
West
Ariz. (RRD) ____
Calif. (RDD) ____
Colo. (RDD) ____
Hawaii (DDD) ____
Idaho (RRR) ____
Mont. (RDR) ____
Nev. (RDD) ____
N.M. (RDD) ____
Oregon (DDD) ____
Utah (RRR) ____
Wash.(DDD) ____
Wyo. (RRR) ____
Midwest
Ill. (RDD) ____
Ind. (RRR) ____
Iowa (DDD) ____
Kans. (RRR) ____
Mich. (RDD) ____
Minn. (DDD) ____
Mo. (RDD) ____
Neb. (RRR) ____
N.Dak. (RRR) ____
Ohio (RDD) ____
S.Dak (RRR) ____
Wis. (DDD) ____
South
Ark. (RDD) ____
Fla. (RRD) ____
Ga. (RDR) ____
Ky. (RRD) ____
La. (RDD) ____
Miss. (RRR) ____
N.Car. (RRR) ____
Okla. (RRR) ____
S.Car. (RRR) ____
Tenn. (RDD) ____
Texas (RRR) ____
Va. (RRR) ____
Northeast
Conn. (RDD) ____
Del. (RDD) ____
D.C. (DDD) _D__
Maine (RDD) ____
Md. (RDD) ____
Mass. (DDD) ____
N.H. (RDD) ____
N.J. (RDD) ____
N.Y. (DDD) ____
Penna. (RDD) ____
R.I. (DDD) ____
Vt. (RDD) ____
W.Va. (DDD) ____
Presidential Prize tiebreaker: Ralph Nader's percentage of the
national vote for president, to three decimal places: ___ . _____ %
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Your name: ________________________________________________
Address: __________________________________________________
Email: ____________________________________________________
Phone: ____________________________________________________
Date: ___________________________ (only your last entry will count)
Send entry to: Lawrence Kestenbaum, P.O. Box 2563, Ann Arbor MI 48106
Also available on the web:
Formatted version: http://www.potifos.com/pundit.html (for printing out)
Plain text version: http://www.potifos.com/pundit.txt (for email)
Paid for by: Lawrence Kestenbaum for County Commissioner,
P.O. Box 2563, Ann Arbor MI 48106
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