Grex Agora47 Conference

Item 48: California Recall election

Entered by richard on Wed Oct 1 16:31:14 2003:

If the latest polls are to be believed, it looks like Gray Davis's days as
governor of California may be numbered.  The latest Los Angles Times poll
puts the numbers at 56% yes (to recall) and 42% no (don't recall), and in
the recall race has Arnold beating Bustamante 40 to 32%.  So Arnold could
be the next governor of the largest state in the country.

There are a lot of factors which could affect the outcome though.  One of
which is the large number of absentee ballots that have already been sent
in.  Arnold did well in the debate last week and is getting a big surge,
but that won't help with those who may have already voted "no" by
absentee.

I'm betting that it will end up being really close.  It still doesn't seem
fair to Davis that essentially for him to stay in office, he must get 50%
on the yes/no question, but Arnold or Bustamante can get elected with a
simple majority (even if its less than ten percent)  So Davis might in
fact have more support statewide than Arnold-- were they meeting in a head
to head contest where the person with the most votes wins Davis might win.
But here Davis has to meet a much higher threshold.  49% of the state's
voters might support him, but he has to get 50%.  I think California's
recall system needs overhauling.
y
130 responses total.

#1 of 130 by klg on Wed Oct 1 16:39:17 2003:

We think that *California* needs an overhauling.

Go, Ah-nuld.

By the way, Mr. richard:  "Arnold or Bustamante can get elected with a 
simple majority (even if its less than ten percent)"

A "majority" of "less than ten percent"?  What's that?  Democratic 
math??


#2 of 130 by krj on Wed Oct 1 17:02:30 2003:

If Arnold pulls a plurality of 40%, he'll have a claim to legitimacy as 
good as Clinton's.   The California recall system is kind of wacky; 
a winning percentage in the 40s is about what you can expect if you have 
more than two competitive candidates and no runoff system.
 
But I don't know what Arnold will be able to accomplish.  The twisted
California rules will still allow the GOP minority to block tax 
increases with only 1/3rd of the legislative seats, while the Democratic
majority will have zero incentive to cooperate with Arnold in
destroying social service spending.  


#3 of 130 by jp2 on Wed Oct 1 17:38:22 2003:

This response has been erased.



#4 of 130 by jep on Wed Oct 1 18:12:45 2003:

I read a quote from Gray Davis saying the Democratic leadership has 
already promised another recall in retaliation if this one succeeds.  
If they do, I wonder when it will occur?  Will they start the process 
of filing it immediately, or wait a year, or wait until after the next 
election that they don't win?

I don't think anyone can govern effectively in California after this 
recall election.  I'm still hoping the recall fails, because it looks 
to me the turmoil which would follow a successful recall is even more 
unbearable than the current situation.  It might well never end.


#5 of 130 by murph on Wed Oct 1 18:27:52 2003:

I agree that having Gray Davis voted out, despite 49% support, with his
successor possibly getting 5% of the vote, is pretty useless.  I should hope
that the winner would have to at least beat out the incumbant.

I've heard that a "recall arnold" group is already gearing up, and plans to
start collecting sigatures the day after the recall vote, if Arnold wins. 
If I were a California voter, I'd be calling my state representatives right
now and demanding that they try to get rid of the recall laws and restore
sanity to the state.


#6 of 130 by richard on Wed Oct 1 18:53:17 2003:

if Davis gets 49% on the recall question, and is recalled, and Arnold wins
the recall ballot with 35%, then who has more support?  Davis could be the
candidate with the most support, but he has this higher threshold so he could
lose.  I think Davis should have, as he had requested, been allowed to have
his name on the recall ballot as well.  It is theoretically possible that he
could lose the yes/no recall question, but would still have won the recal
ballot race.  As it is, Davis's supporters are screwed, they have a candidate
who has a much higher hurdle to get over than any other candidate.  How is
that fair?


#7 of 130 by cross on Wed Oct 1 21:33:15 2003:

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#8 of 130 by carson on Wed Oct 1 21:45:09 2003:

(...followed by Texas [where everything's bigger]...)


#9 of 130 by pvn on Thu Oct 2 06:50:00 2003:

California deserves exactly what it gets.


#10 of 130 by tsty on Thu Oct 2 06:51:16 2003:

of 31 recall attemts, a single one has goten this far. as for another
immediate ah-nold recall, fuggetaboutit - it's a pipe dream.


#11 of 130 by fitz on Thu Oct 2 12:28:01 2003:

for those who missed it, Sunday's Doonesbury had a clipable petition for the
recall of Gov. Schwarzenegger.  The mailing address was to TOTAL RECALL:c/o
California Secretary of State.

Why wait?


#12 of 130 by jep on Thu Oct 2 17:26:51 2003:

Hey, with a little bit of organization, Californians could combine the 
recall and replacement elections of Davis and Schwarzenegger!


#13 of 130 by gull on Thu Oct 2 18:11:55 2003:

My guess is the first thing Arnold will do if he's elected is try to
eliminate the recall option.

I'm kind of curious what people who would vote against Davis feel the
biggest strike against him is.  I'm not really clear on what the major
complaints are.


#14 of 130 by jp2 on Thu Oct 2 18:18:00 2003:

This response has been erased.



#15 of 130 by gull on Thu Oct 2 18:30:10 2003:

Given what the economy did, could he have done any better?

California's deficit is a smaller percentage of California GDP than the
national deficit is of national GDP.  Why is there so much less anger
directed at Bush than at Davis?


#16 of 130 by tod on Thu Oct 2 18:34:28 2003:

This response has been erased.



#17 of 130 by gull on Thu Oct 2 18:45:37 2003:

Makes sense.


#18 of 130 by mcnally on Thu Oct 2 19:37:24 2003:

  re #15: 
  > Given what the economy did, could he have done any better?

  He didn't have to base California's budget on the clearly unrealistic
  growth projections of the dotcom boom years and he badly, badly screwed
  up trying to end the Californa "power crisis" a few years ago.

  The fact that a lot of other governors got into similar crunches by
  basing revenue expectation on wildly overoptimistic projections doesn't
  make it any more excusable in my opinion.  The fact that energy producers
  and traders may have been trying to game the system in California's
  strangely deregulated energy market made Davis's position difficult
  but even above and beyond that difficulty he managed to achieve a 
  spectacularly bad "solution" that combined the worst of both worlds.



#19 of 130 by gelinas on Thu Oct 2 22:28:54 2003:

ATC had an interview with a San Diego business-booster; her complaint was
that Governor Davis has done nothing to improve the climate/environment
for corporations, so it is hard for her to convince them to establish
themselves in San Diego.


#20 of 130 by bru on Fri Oct 3 00:46:15 2003:

I think any recall begun before the man took office would be thrown out in
court.  How can you try to throw him out of an office he has not yet held?


#21 of 130 by klg on Fri Oct 3 00:50:08 2003:

bru,
Those people will try anything.


#22 of 130 by tsty on Fri Oct 3 04:11:34 2003:

heh-heh, yeh, they even tried davis again last november - silly ppl


#23 of 130 by raven on Fri Oct 3 05:42:21 2003:

re #22 Who exactly caused the California energy crisis?  That's right Pete
Wilson who masterminded a faulty deregulation scheme that allowed Enron
(there's that name again) to jack California.  Who is Arnold's chief policy
advisor?  Pete Wilson.  Who is actually paying attention to the issues? 
Almost no one... Am I afraid of the outcome of this election?  You betcha. 
Am I disgusted with the media that always smoothes over right wing lies? 
(Hello Fox I'm talking to you.) You betcha.  Though that is perhaps a rant
best saved for another item.



#24 of 130 by scg on Fri Oct 3 07:07:20 2003:

The Davis campaign was running commercials with a collage of pictures of
recall candidates in the background, and arguing that if Davis were recalled,
one of those candidates could win with "as little as 15% of the vote."  It
wasn't at all clear to me where they got the 15% number.  As others have
pointed out here, the theoretical minimum with well over 100 candidates was
a lot lower than that, and as a practical matter, given that the two major
parties were each lining up behind single candidates, the actual winner was
going to get a lot more than that.  The 15% number had the appearance of being
completely made up.  Furthermore, Davis has until very recently been
campaigning against a group including Larry Flynt ("and even a porn king"),
rather than against Schwarzenegger.  The whole recall defense movement hasn't
seemed very credible.

I'm becoming generally disgusted with the campaign skills of the California
Democrats this time around.  It seems obvious to me that in such a non-level
playing field situation, the obvious strategy would be to try to get everybody
who was voting no on the recall to also vote for a good backup candidate, but
that strategy appaears to have ripped apart the Democratic leadership, such
that Gray Davis has now gone back to not acknowledgeing the candidacy of the
Democratic replacement candidate, Cruz Bustamonte, and the Davis Campaign has
been urging Bustamonte to drop out of the race.  Perhaps it doesn't matter.
Schwarzenegger is starting to look like he might get more votes than Davis.

Meanwhile, the other big thing on the ballot is Proposition 54, which bans
the state and local governments from collecting racial statistics.  The
obvious argument against this seems to me to be that the very idea of the
proposal is flawed.  Rather than preventing discrimination, it makes it
impossible to tell if discriminatino is occurring.  Instead, the campaign
against it seems to have concluded that such an explanation is too complicated
for the voters, and is instead running with a rather contrived seeming
argument that such a regulation would impair medical research.  A more recent
set of ads, which are turning into a big fundraising scandal, features Cruz
Bustamonte speaking agianst Proposition 54.  At least, he appears to be
speaking against it, but the Bustamonte speech in the commercial is being
entirely drowned out by cheering, a cheering crowd seemingly oblivious to
what's being said.  Of course, these are really creatively funded Bustamonte
campaign commercials, not anti-Proposition 54 commercials, but the idea
appears to be that if we see images of large crowds erupting in non-stop
cheering at the site of Bustamonte, maybe we'll conclude that he's a fat
balding middle-aged star or sensation, rather than a not all that telegenic
politician.

I haven't actually met anybody who will admit to planning to vote for
Schwarzenegger, but maybe my part of the state is weird that way.

Meanwhile, the Schwarzenegger scandals continue.  During the only debate he's
taken part in, Arianna Huffington accused him of disrespecting women, and he
responded by offering to stuff her head in a toilet.  His popularity went up.
Today he apologized for his bad judgement in groping or trying to pull the
clothes off six different women, all of whom were working for him, on several
different occasions.  His popularity went up, with people saying they were
impressed by the apology.  He's still refusing to answer questions about how
he'll fix the state's problems, other than saying that he'll fix them, and
his popularity is going up with people saying they're impressed that he's not
letting the media push him around.  I don't get it.


#25 of 130 by scg on Fri Oct 3 07:10:25 2003:

I turned on the radio earlier today, and caught a snippet of one of the NPR
call-in shows.  The caller was commenting on how nice it was to see the
Republicans, who still castigate Bill Clinton and campaign against
immigration, lining up behind a pot smoking immigrant who gropes women.


#26 of 130 by gull on Fri Oct 3 12:40:44 2003:

Re #54:
> Meanwhile, the other big thing on the ballot is Proposition 54,
> which bans the state and local governments from collecting
> racial statistics.

"If you don't want to know the answer, just don't ask the question."


I think Arnold's campaign strategy is unintentionally brilliant,
actually.  If you never take any positions, no one will strongly
disagree with you.  And California is all about image over substance.


#27 of 130 by happyboy on Fri Oct 3 18:04:14 2003:

i think it's GREAT that arnie is going to be the governor of
california.


DADA Lives on!


#28 of 130 by richard on Sat Oct 4 05:49:18 2003:

This response has been erased.



#29 of 130 by richard on Sat Oct 4 06:08:46 2003:

According to news reports, Arnold is running on two big issues:

1. He promises to rescind a bill Davis has promised to sign, which 
would allow illegal immigrants the opportunity to obtain driver's 
licenses.  This stance is getting Arnold called a racist by latino 
activists in the state, who claim that if the majority of illegal 
immigrants were white-- and not latino-- this wouldn't even be an issue 
because the state needs money badly, and allowing these people to get 
licenses and buy auto insurance would provide a badly needed revenue 
stream.  They say Arnold wants to relegate undocumented immigrants, of 
which there are many in California, to permanent second class status.  

2. Arnold also promises to rescind the tripling of car license fees 
that is due to take effect.  This is another issue which could get a 
lot of votes.

But the fact is it sounds like Arnold is trying to have his cake and 
eat it too.  The state is in desperate financial shape, and  yet he 
wants to roll back tax increases, and kill two bills which were passed 
specifically to create desperately needed revenue streams.  So where is 
Arnold going to get the money, if you don't want to raise taxes and you 
don't want to do things like raise license fees and make it possible 
for more salary earners in the state to have licenses and thus pay fees 
and pay insurance?  The only thing I've heard Arnold mention, in the 
way of raising new money, is he's going to try and find ways to shake 
down the Tribal owners of the state's Indian casinos.

So lets see Arnold, you are going to cut taxes so you and your rich 
mostly white friends will benefit.  You are going to rollback the car 
license fees, so you and your rich mostly white friends who have fleets 
of cars in your driveways will benefit.  You are going to shake down 
the Indian tribes for money.  You are going to disallow undocumented 
immigrants, mostly poor latinos, from being able to pay their fair 
share and from being able to rise out of their situations (drivers 
licenses would allow them to open bank accounts and do other things 
which could better their lives)

It seems clear to me, Arnold is going to widen the gap between the rich 
and the poor in the state, between the upper and lower classes.  
Between the rich whites in Orange County and the poor latinos who work 
in the Orange groves and other farms.  Exactly how is this going to 
make the state of California better?


#30 of 130 by mcnally on Sat Oct 4 07:05:55 2003:

This response has been erased.



#31 of 130 by bru on Sat Oct 4 07:10:58 2003:

WEll, we could start by making the illegal aliens apply for visas and become
legal aliensm then they could get drivers licenses and do other things
legally.


#32 of 130 by mcnally on Sat Oct 4 07:52:36 2003:

(re-posted with a couple of glaring typos corrected..)


  > So lets see Arnold, you are going to cut taxes so you and your rich
  > mostly white friends will benefit.  You are going to rollback the car
  > license fees, so you and your rich mostly white friends who have fleets
  > of cars in your driveways will benefit.

  Try not to be ludicrous.  In the circles of genuinely rich people that
  Schwarzenegger surely moves in, car registration fees are undoubtedly
  chump change.  Triple car registration fees isn't an issue intended to
  reward wealthy patrons but it's almost guaranteed to resonate strongly
  with the middle class, to whom it makes a difference.

  > It seems clear to me, Arnold is going to widen the gap between the rich
  > and the poor in the state, between the upper and lower classes.

  And it seems to me that that gap is going to widen whether it's
  Schwarzenegger, Davis, or Bustamante who winds up governor when
  this whole mess is settled.  I'd be genuinely surprised if you
  could come up with any evidence that the income gap narrowed
  during the Davis/Bustamante administration (except possibly in
  the immediate aftermath of the dotcom crash, but it's hard to
  give Davis & Bustamante credit for an event they'd have probably
  done nearly anything in their power to prevent.)  And if the
  current governor and his wannabe replacement, the other two
  likeliest-looking hopefuls, haven't done anything to reverse the
  widening gap between rich and poor is it really fair to single
  out Schwarzenegger for criticism on this count?

  As much as I find the idea of a Schwarzenegger governorship ludicrous,
  nothing does more to convince me to take it seriously as a possibility
  than the political non-sequiturs being spewed forth by Davis's and
  Bustamante's campaigns.  Listening to any of the three of them, it warms
  my heart to think that I don't live in California, whose voters really
  do seem headed for the kind of government they deserve..




#33 of 130 by asddsa on Sat Oct 4 16:07:40 2003:

re 29 I don't think Arnie reads GreX bbs


#34 of 130 by gull on Sat Oct 4 21:26:36 2003:

I hear Arnold has promised to let Ken Lay off the hook if he's elected.  
Hardly surprising from someone who is basically Wilson's puppet.


#35 of 130 by richard on Sat Oct 4 23:04:45 2003:

Arnold is suffering a backlash due to allegations that he groped women in the
past.  One woman says he tried to rape her.  The Oakland Tribune withdrew its
endorsement.  Maybe the head of steam Arnold had coming off the debate a week
ago is finally disappating.


#36 of 130 by murph on Sun Oct 5 01:52:05 2003:

#32: Me too.

The only (major) candidate I really appreciate in that race is the Green party
candidate.  He's apparently not running to win, but to steal enough votes from
Bustamante so that the Dems start to see that IRV would really be in their
best interest....


#37 of 130 by klg on Sun Oct 5 03:18:59 2003:

Ha!  Mr. richard is funny!!:  Illegal aliens are second class citizens??

(We presume the remainder of his response is a joke, too.)


#38 of 130 by polygon on Sun Oct 5 04:53:57 2003:

Michigan's recall law does not allow an official to be recalled during the
first N months of a term.  (I forget the precise value of N, but it's
probably six.)  In other words, you can't start hounding a Michigan
politician out of office the moment they get elected.

As I recall, California has no such bar. 

The signature requirement for a recall election in Michigan is very
large: 25% of the number of votes cast for governor in the constituency
of the official in question.  I'm not sure what California requires, but I
believe it is drastically less.

Many states, especially in the East and South, don't provide for the
possibility of recall at all.

The bizarre aspects of California's law is (1) the simultaneous recall and
election of a replacement, and (2) the lack of any kind of primary or
nomination process, hence, an "open" election with an unlimited number of
candidates.  Presumably the rationale is that, once an official is
removed, filling the office is a matter of urgency, and there isn't time
to hold a primary. 

Some states, for example Texas, used to hold all special elections this
way.  If a congressman died in mid-term, they'd hold a y'all-come style
election with dozens of candidates, and the number 1 votegetter would win. 
That worked well as long as all of the candidates were Texas Democrats,
but eventually a few Republicans (a tiny minority in 1940s Texas) sneaked
into office that way, and the process was revised. 

Here in Michigan, the recall and replacement elections are held
separately.  Even so, it is obviously assumed that there isn't time to
hold a primary; hence, if it is a partisan office, the political party
committees themselves nominate candidates for the replacement election.


#39 of 130 by polygon on Sun Oct 5 04:55:19 2003:

er, that should be /bizarre aspects of California's law are/, not
/... is/


#40 of 130 by richard on Sun Oct 5 06:16:06 2003:

klg, YOUR relatives were once illegal aliens ya know.  At some point you had
relatives move to this country who were not citizens and presumably moved here
on their own to make a better life.  

And even those who are illegal aliens, if they have children in this country,
those children are u.s. citizens.  this is about classism, pure and simple.
and klg doesn't care, because klg thinks his race, his class, his country,
his everything is better than anyone else's.  sheesh.
,
./


#41 of 130 by mcnally on Sun Oct 5 06:51:53 2003:

  re #40:  unless you have specific knowledge of klg's family history,
  which is doubtful given the broadness of the second sentence of your
  post, you're either making a huge assumption or confusing the idea
  of "immigrant" with that of "illegal alien."  Here's a hint, the 
  adjective in "illegal alien" is a significant part of the phrase.


#42 of 130 by slynne on Sun Oct 5 15:22:16 2003:

I dont have any ancesters who came here as illegal aliens. Sure, they 
all were immigrants but they all came here legally. 


#43 of 130 by gelinas on Sun Oct 5 15:35:19 2003:

(If INS or whatever it is now called would grant visas without first deporting
people, illegal aliens might consider applying for visas.)


#44 of 130 by russ on Sun Oct 5 19:16:00 2003:

This response has been erased.



#45 of 130 by russ on Sun Oct 5 19:17:47 2003:

Quoth richard:

>And even those who are illegal aliens, if they have children in this country,
>those children are u.s. citizens.

Thereby giving those children a benefit due solely to their parents'
violation of the law, and the parents in turn (their children are
citizens).  Other countries do not grant such boons to scofflaws,
and it's long past time that we revoked ours.


#46 of 130 by drew on Sun Oct 5 19:58:49 2003:

'twould require a constitutional amendment.


#47 of 130 by polygon on Sun Oct 5 20:18:18 2003:

At least one of my putative ancestors came to the U.S. in violation of
the laws of his country of origin.


#48 of 130 by slynne on Sun Oct 5 20:34:33 2003:

I think it is fair that anyone born in this country is a citizen of 
this country even if their parents are here illegally. 


#49 of 130 by keesan on Sun Oct 5 23:42:48 2003:

The story is that my grandfather (who lived in or near Warsaw) was drafted
into the Russian army (20 year term), escaped, was caught and drafted again,
and killed someone to escape a second time before he emigrated to NYC.


#50 of 130 by bru on Mon Oct 6 02:25:12 2003:

It is also a problem with regard to Mexico's "brain Drain" .  Profsssionals
in Mexico are making appointments and having their babies in the U.S. to get
their children a better future and themselves access to the country.  (there
is a visa for parents of Citizen children, and for their siblings)


#51 of 130 by slynne on Mon Oct 6 14:26:18 2003:

There wouldnt be a problem with "brain drain" if our so called free 
trade agreement applied to labor too. We should just let any Canadians 
and Mexicans into this country to work and vice versa. Imagine how 
*that* would shake things up.


#52 of 130 by gelinas on Mon Oct 6 18:39:11 2003:

(I'm reading Peter Drucker's "Managing in the Next Society."  He's made very
similar points several times, and I'm only on starting the fifth essay. 
Except it's not just labor; the new commodity is information.)


#53 of 130 by klg on Tue Oct 7 01:44:41 2003:

You caught us there, Mr. richard.  How on earth did you find out that 
our grandparents swam across the Atlantic Ocean in order to avoid 
passing through Ellis Island??  (It was a closely protected family 
secret.)  He is one sharp guy, ain't he!

(Also, a person may be born a citizen even if only one of is parents is 
in the U.S.  It would, I presume, have to be a particular parent.)


#54 of 130 by richard on Tue Oct 7 02:48:29 2003:

klg, what you think every immigrant came through Ellis Island?  hardly, many
came on smaller boats and deported elsewhere.  Even if your ancestors did,
there are plenty of people who have become or became productive citizens who
did not enter in the normal places or legally.  But there is a double standard
because most european immigrants were white, and not feared, whereas most
immigrants out in California and Texas are latinos or asians.  The people like
Arnold who want to enact all these strict new laws on immigration, are really
acting out of fear, a fear of the changi ng racial demogrpahics in this
country.  
\.


#55 of 130 by klg on Tue Oct 7 02:50:29 2003:

We appreciate your clearing that up.


#56 of 130 by gelinas on Tue Oct 7 03:27:06 2003:

Oh.  My.  Arnold is an immigrant.  Recent, even, since he came over as
an adult.  Yet he fears immigrants?  Curiouser and curiouser.


#57 of 130 by richard on Tue Oct 7 04:36:22 2003:

#57...read what I said, Arnold is a EUROPEAN immigrant.  The immigrants 
coming into California and Texas are largely latinos and asians.  Not 
white europeans.  If you don't think racial politics plays into it, you 
are being naive. I would bet anything that if all those immigrants 
coming to California were white europeans like Arnold, he would not 
have those views.  

btw, San Francisco Mayor Willie Brown, who is pretty wealthy, is 
promising to personally fund an immediate effort to recall Arnold if 
he's elected.  The partisan politics in California seem particularly 
fierce.  If the republicans succeed in getting Davis recalled, I don't 
believe the democrats will rest until a republican is recalled.  There 
will be a recall effort next year, and the year after, and the year 
after.  IMO the only way to nip this thing in the bud, and save 
California years of political misery and expensive petition drives and 
recall elections, is to vote this one down.  To say, as emphatically as 
possible, that elections should only be held when they are regularly 
scheduled to be held.  


#58 of 130 by gelinas on Tue Oct 7 04:42:46 2003:

Actually, I'd bet that if the European immigrants were illegals, in the
numbers we see from Mexico et al, he'd feel exactly the same way about them.


#59 of 130 by gull on Tue Oct 7 13:18:24 2003:

Re #57: I'd guess the first thing whoever comes out of this as governor
will do is try to change or eliminate the recall option.  Overall that
would be a good thing, since clearly it's a poorly thought out law. 
Sort of like how the independent prosecutor law wasn't renewed after the
Republicans' massive multi-year, multi-million-dollar fishing expedition
made everyone realize how flawed it was.


#60 of 130 by lynne on Tue Oct 7 14:33:16 2003:

In Germany (which I realize is not the same as Austria) the Turkish immigrants
come over in droves because they can get jobs there.  They are viewed with
much the same mix of vague fear, disgust or mistrust that Latin- or African-
Americans tend to find in this country.  


#61 of 130 by richard on Tue Oct 7 17:25:24 2003:

re: #59...wouldn't arnold look hypocritical if he gets elected governor
through a recall election, and then moved to eliminate or change the recall
option?  


#62 of 130 by other on Tue Oct 7 17:28:40 2003:

It would only look hypocritical if everyone didn't already expect him to 
do it.


#63 of 130 by gelinas on Tue Oct 7 17:52:38 2003:

I'm surprised the legislature hasn't already started looking into it.


#64 of 130 by tpryan on Tue Oct 7 18:28:32 2003:

        Good if recall procedure changes become effective afther the
next regular election.


#65 of 130 by scg on Tue Oct 7 19:08:15 2003:

My understanding is that the recall option would have to be changed by the
voters, not the legislature.

I suspect there will be some strengthening of the procedures for keeping
non-serious candidates off the ballot, but doubt there will be much support
for getting rid of recalls entirely.

I voted around 11:30 am (the polls are open from 8 am to 8 pm, I think).  My
temporary consolodated polling place turned out to be somebody's rather
cramped one car garage.  The table where the poll workers were sitting was
right behind the voters, facing the voting screens, so there was no secret
ballot.  It didn't look to me like there would have been enough room to do
things differently, given the space provided.  There wasn't a line (unlike
my last time voting in the normal polling place, which took more than an
hour), but I think I overheard somebody say that out of around 1,000
registered voters for that precinct, 300 had already voted, which would either
be really phenominal turnout, indicate that nobody was waiting until after
work to vote, or indicate that I heard one of the numbers incorrectly.  Still,
I'll take high turnout in North Berkeley as good news, and hope it isn't
matched in more conservative areas.  The messy part of the ballot was the
replacement election.  Cruz Bustamonte's name was several screens deep on the
electronic voting machine.  I'm not sure where Ah-nold's name was, since I
didn't look for it.


#66 of 130 by gelinas on Tue Oct 7 22:32:14 2003:

NPR has been saying that turnout seems to be high.

I thought I heard that the recall procedures were in the constitution,
so yeah, it makes sense that the changes would have to be made by the
electorate.  But who proposes them?  "Grandfathering" of such things
usually protects current office-holders until their next election.

The changes I would expect to see are to the threshold for getting a recall
on the ballot, and to the threshold for getting replacements on the ballot.
_Perhaps_ the change will include separate balloting for the two.  (NB:
I do NOT think it reasonable to allow people just recalled to run for
the positions they were forced to vacate.)


#67 of 130 by russ on Wed Oct 8 02:18:17 2003:

Unlike some people, I do have a problem with Mexicans and such
coming here illegally.  They may be a boon to the low-wage sector
of the economy, but if you made them pay for bilingual education
and the other special services they require I'll bet that they'd
stay home.  This means that the public is subsidizing the
difference, and losing a bundle on the deal.

How American can someone be if they don't even speak the language?

I'd be happy to pay another ten cents a pound for my chicken so
that Tyson can make the job safe and rewarding enough to attract
workers from this side of the border.  Besides, if these jobs
are so bad that workers are disabled by repetitive-stress
injuries, it's not fair to anyone to work them.


#68 of 130 by happyboy on Wed Oct 8 04:27:28 2003:

"how american can someone be if they can't even speak the
 language?"

uh...which one?  lakota?  hopi? anishinabe?  choctaw?  mandan?


#69 of 130 by richard on Wed Oct 8 04:36:06 2003:

#67..."how american can someone be if they don't speak the language"

"if you made them pay for bilingual educa tion and the other special sservices
they require I'll bet that they'd stay home"

russ you in my personal opinion are indicating racist feelings with those
comments.  also have you ever lived in a large city like new york? if you had,
you'd know there are many MANY people who are americans but who speak little
or no english.  English isn't "the language", you aren't american because you
can or can't speak english.  


#70 of 130 by gelinas on Wed Oct 8 04:42:43 2003:

(But not knowing the language does make it hard to participate in the
political debate.  Sure, you may get a bilingual ballot, but are the arguments
for and against going to be in both languages?)


#71 of 130 by rcurl on Wed Oct 8 05:43:46 2003:

What fraction of voters read fully the arguments for and against a
proposal or person? They mostly get their information verbally, via the
media and personal contacts (with equally poorly informed voters). I
suspect that persons that do not know English but live in their ethnic
communities, are not particuarly less well informed than the English
speaking community, especially on matters and candidates that are of
direct concern to them.



#72 of 130 by gelinas on Wed Oct 8 05:54:23 2003:

You are probably right, Rane.  I'm not likely to hear their thoughts, though.


#73 of 130 by rcurl on Wed Oct 8 06:07:48 2003:

Certainly not as continually as thoughts expressed in the language of the
majority (if you are a member of that language group). However minority
opinions from other language communities do have spokespersons, although
their voices, even though in English, do not get as widely  reported.


#74 of 130 by scg on Wed Oct 8 07:40:30 2003:

Regarding the results:  Ick.

The touch screen voting machine gave a choice between getting the ballot in
English, Spanish, or some other language, Mandarin probably.  But even in
California, non-US citizens can't vote.

The rights of illegal immigrants issue is really an extension of hte
California vs. the rest of the US issue.  California in many ways operates
like a quasi-independant country rather than a US state (and is big enough
for that to work fairly well most of the time).  Illegal immigrants are a
rather large part of the California population and the California workforce,
Spanish is a major language here, and California law is starting to recognize
that.  I don't see much of a contridiction in California giving as many rights
as it can to those not in the US legally.  I suspect if California were
allowed to control its own immigration policy, those immigrants wouldn't be
illegal at all.


#75 of 130 by slynne on Wed Oct 8 13:19:57 2003:

Yeah. Those immigrants are a very important part of the labor force in 
California. I think the answer to the immigrant problem is to not only 
have free trade of goods in North America but to have free trade in 
labor too. 


#76 of 130 by gull on Wed Oct 8 14:01:59 2003:

Re #74:
> But even in California, non-US citizens can't vote.

Though that doesn't stop "B-1 Bob" Dornan from complaining on every
single show he does that the illegal immigrant vote cost him his election.


#77 of 130 by klg on Wed Oct 8 16:12:15 2003:

re:  "#74 (scg): . . . But even in California, non-US citizens can't 
vote."

(Shh.  Don't let Mr. richard know they are being treated as 2nd class 
citizens.)


And, is what we heard true about participation in this election greater 
that in any previous gubernatorial election??  Gee, that must make 
Swartzeneggar the most legitimate governor in Cal. history!


So, now that Ah-nuld is the gubernator-elect, who's moving to Canada?? 
(And, don't forget to write.)


#78 of 130 by tod on Wed Oct 8 16:55:50 2003:

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#79 of 130 by gull on Wed Oct 8 17:26:34 2003:

Re #77: Why would I move to Canada because California did something
stupid?  The great thing about states is that there are 50 of them.


#80 of 130 by richard on Wed Oct 8 18:23:40 2003:

you can bet the recall arnold movement is starting today.  arnold's i mage
was really tarnished by all those sexual harrassment charges.  I find it
interesting that all those republicans who acted holier than thou over
Clinton's indiscretions and voted to impeach him, were falling all
over themselves to vote for Arnold for Governor despite all the women who said
he groped or sexually assaulted them.  Whats the message? democrats held to
higher moral standards than republicans>?


#81 of 130 by tod on Wed Oct 8 18:25:55 2003:

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#82 of 130 by jp2 on Wed Oct 8 18:26:20 2003:

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#83 of 130 by tod on Wed Oct 8 18:32:08 2003:

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#84 of 130 by albaugh on Wed Oct 8 18:41:04 2003:

And there was a report of Davis "manhandling" a 60+ year old staffer of his.
Recall AS over this?  The people had the chance to do that by not voting for
him.  Get a grip, richard.


#85 of 130 by rcurl on Wed Oct 8 19:12:14 2003:

If a recall Arnold effort is put into motion, who do the Democrats have
to put up against him? Davis and Bustamente won't be viable. 


#86 of 130 by tod on Wed Oct 8 19:31:44 2003:

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#87 of 130 by cmcgee on Wed Oct 8 21:17:02 2003:

The Dems could always run the California-Kennedy, Maria Schriver.


#88 of 130 by tod on Wed Oct 8 21:45:07 2003:

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#89 of 130 by janc on Thu Oct 9 01:30:45 2003:

What vote totals I could find:

 Davis out         4,400,000 votes
 Davis in          3,600,000 votes

 1  Schwarzeneger  3,700,000 votes
 2  Bustamante     2,400,000 votes
 3  McClintock     1,000,000 votes
 4  Camejo           210,000 votes (green party)
 5  Huffington        40,000 votes (dropped out a week ago)
 6  Ueberroth         20,000 votes (dropped out a month ago)
 7  Flynt             14,000 votes (Hustler publisher)
 8  Coleman           12,000 votes (child star)

10  Carey              9,300 votes (porn star)

16  Gallagher          4,800 votes (comic)



#90 of 130 by gull on Thu Oct 9 02:08:46 2003:

Re #86: I guess voting for a candidate that has no positions on issues 
is one way to avoid being lied to.


#91 of 130 by russ on Thu Oct 9 02:23:34 2003:

Richard, you (in my personal opinion) are exhibiting your excellent
command of knee-jerk PC responses.  Illegal aliens are lawbreakers,
and should not get off more lightly than people who go 10 MPH over
the speed limit.  And for your information, the vast majority of
the country is nothing like NYC (and thank goodness); someone who
can get along in an enclave in NYC would be just another hapless
tourist in the vast majority of the nation.  They wouldn't be able
to be part of much because they couldn't *communicate*.
(Incidentally, you're deficient there too.)

Because I knew there would be someone piping up with a POV like
Richard's, I saved this little gem from today's Houston Chronicle.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/story.hts/editorial/outlook/2143275

Immigrate legally or pay price

[Regarding the Oct. 6 Viewpoints letter from Carlos Sanchez,
"Hispanics truly exploited":] If Hispanics are exploited in this
nation as a labor force, it is because they allow it. It is said that
Hispanic immigrants will do all the jobs other Americans won't do.
That's not exactly the case, but they are willing to take menial jobs
for low pay.

If they'd take the time to learn the language and assimilate the
culture, they'd find themselves not so limited in the opportunities
that are available to them.

Moreover, if they'd take the front door into the nation and immigrate
legally, they'd be availing themselves of the same set of systems as
[can be utilized by] any citizen.

I know successful Hispanic businessmen who employ only
English-speaking, documented workers. It's in the best interest of
their businesses to do so.

And it's not a few "fat businessmen" who prosper from this system:
Cheap labor benefits us all to some extent.

That is why we continue to allow it.

The price of illegal entry into and refusal to fully participate in a
nation does and should result in a reduction to legal protection.

Berry Muhl, Houston


#92 of 130 by polygon on Thu Oct 9 05:14:32 2003:

Re 89.  I see you omitted the 9th-place finisher, who got more than 10,000
votes.  He was the highest-ranking candidate among the "unknowns" who got
no media attention.  He finished ahead of the porn star.

Hmmm, so in the absence of any news coverge or other free media, why was
the #9 candidate so much stronger than any of the other "unknowns"?  Great
TV commercials?  An inspiring stump speech?  A local base of support? 

Nope.

His name was Schwartzman.  And I bet most of his votes came from precincts
where he was listed ahead of Schwarzenegger on the ballot.


#93 of 130 by tsty on Thu Oct 9 08:14:07 2003:

simon finished farther down than the porn quean.  must suck t be simon.
  
btw, being   'exploited' in america is WAYFARBETTER tahn being
respected i mexico - think about it for a couple seconds.
  


#94 of 130 by janc on Thu Oct 9 17:49:34 2003:

I hadn't known about Schwartzman.  I had to dig the vote counts out
several different articles, and I had to round them off to make them
agree.


#95 of 130 by carson on Fri Oct 10 04:16:33 2003:

(while listening to the BBC last night, I heard someone suggest that
Schwarznegger's gubernatorial run was a warm-up for a possible run
at the White House.  if you don't know what's wrong with that assessment,
don't raise your hand; I don't want to know who you are.)


#96 of 130 by jaklumen on Fri Oct 10 04:18:31 2003:

Was it Dan Rather asking Arnold that some Senators were suggesting 
legislation to change that?  He replied that he had no aspiration to 
high office.


#97 of 130 by other on Fri Oct 10 04:19:15 2003:

He could run for First Gentleman (First Husband?)


#98 of 130 by albaugh on Fri Oct 10 04:33:35 2003:

Heard on the radio that this was the 31st recall "election" in California,
and only the first one to "succeed".


#99 of 130 by gelinas on Fri Oct 10 05:45:23 2003:

Yeah, I've been hearing things like "the first recall in a hundred years" or
"first governor to be recalled in a hundred years."  I've not cared enough
to hunt up the facts.


#100 of 130 by scg on Fri Oct 10 06:19:08 2003:

I think the story was that this was California's second time a governor had
ever faced a recall election, and this one was the first one to succeed.  The
other previous recall elections have been for local offices, and there've been
several of those.  There was apparrently a Berkeley city council member who
was recalled a couple decades ago, so at least one local recall election has
succeeded.


#101 of 130 by keesan on Fri Oct 10 10:53:01 2003:

How many registered voters does CA have?


#102 of 130 by gull on Fri Oct 10 13:50:29 2003:

Re #96: It would take more than just legislation.  There has been some
talk of a Constitutional amendment to change that rule, though; the
current proposal would allow anyone who has been a U.S. citizen for 35
years to run.  I saw Pat Buchanan frothing about this on MSNBC the other
night.


#103 of 130 by klg on Fri Oct 10 13:51:58 2003:

(He can run; he just can't take office.)


#104 of 130 by polygon on Fri Oct 10 15:37:48 2003:

For once, klg is right about something.


#105 of 130 by klg on Fri Oct 10 16:03:15 2003:

(You are too kind, Mr. polygon.  We shall keep trying to meet such 
lofty standards.)


#106 of 130 by klg on Fri Oct 10 16:21:54 2003:

re:  "#80 (richard):  . . .  arnold's image was really tarnished by all 
those sexual harrassment charges."

We are catching up on past reading, Mr. richard.  How do you feel about 
the following information in the Monday, 1/6 opinionjournal.com??

" . . . the L.A. Daily News . . .published an op-ed by Jill Stewart, 
who asks why the Times hasn't subjected the governor to a similar 
investigation: 'Since at least 1997, the Times has been sitting on 
information that Gov. Gray Davis is an 'office batterer' who has 
attacked female members of his staff, thrown objects at subservients 
and launched into red-faced fits, screaming the f-word until staffers 
cower.'
Stewart recounts her own reporting on Davis, which appeared in 1997 in 
the now-defunct New Times Los Angeles:
Davis flew into a rage one day because female staffers had rearranged 
framed artwork on the walls of his office. He so violently shoved his 
loyal, 62-year-old secretary out of a doorway that she suffered a 
breakdown and refused to ever work in the same room with him. . .  She 
finally transferred to another job, desperate to avoid him. . . .
Another woman, a policy analyst, had the unhappy chore in the mid-1990s 
of informing Davis that a fund-raising source had dried up. When she 
told Davis, she recounted, Davis began screaming the f-word at the top 
of his lungs. . . Davis grabbed her by her shoulders and 'shook me 
until my teeth rattled.'
Stewart writes that while she was researching the New Times story 
she 'crossed paths' with L.A. Times reporters looking into the same 
allegations. But the Old Times never published the story. 'When I spoke 
to a reporter involved,' Stewart recounts, 'he said editors at the 
Times were against attacking a major political figure using anonymous 
sources. Just what they did last week to Schwarzenegger.'. . ."


#107 of 130 by tod on Fri Oct 10 17:35:23 2003:

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#108 of 130 by polygon on Fri Oct 10 18:26:00 2003:

Jon Stewart on the "Daily Show" reported that Schwarzenegger was
"devastated" by winning the election.  "It was an ego trip that went
horribly wrong," the pseudo-reporter said.  "He tried to stop it --
where do you think all those groping allegations came from?  He even
said he admired Adolf Hitler.  But that train had already left the
station.  Now he has to move to Sacramento and live in the [bleep]-hole
of a governor's mansion."


#109 of 130 by slynne on Fri Oct 10 19:44:21 2003:

I love The Daily Show


#110 of 130 by gull on Fri Oct 10 20:08:02 2003:

It wasn't Jon Stewart, though, it was one of the other people on the
show.  I forget who.  Hilarious piece, though.


#111 of 130 by scg on Sat Oct 11 04:33:12 2003:

Swarzenegger's accusers weren't anonymous, so if that were really the Times's
whole reasoning, they weren't being inconsistent.  I suspect a lot of the
editorial decision involved deeper questions of credibility.  Given that it's
presumably pretty easy to find out who Davis's loyal 62 year old secretary
was at a given point, it's very likely she wasn't the anonymous source.


#112 of 130 by tsty on Sun Oct 12 08:55:10 2003:

what's gong to be most intersting is what the
report of teh OUTSIDE AUDITORS happens to be.
  
putting a state on teh model of a capitalistic enterprise is
wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyb longoverdue.


#113 of 130 by scott on Sun Oct 12 13:02:45 2003:

Given the way some high-profile "capitalistic enterprises" have been run, I
don't think running the government should be done the same way.


#114 of 130 by gull on Mon Oct 13 00:39:02 2003:

Heh, no kidding.  I can imagine the headlines:  'California forced to 
restate third-quarter earnings.' ;>


#115 of 130 by polygon on Tue Oct 14 17:17:22 2003:

Actually, there are a lot of problems with government accounting, which
is why they came up with GASB 34.  (That's "gazz-bee-thir-tee-four", for
those of you who aren't accounting geeks or readers of local government
budget documents.)

GASB 34 is a colossal shift of government accounting standards toward
private sector accounting standards, and it is about time.  Governments
have been getting away with all kinds of accounting crap that no business
would be allowed to do. 

For example, state and local governments are being required for the first
time to account for their assets, their buildings and roads and bridges
and so forth.  Instead of being free money, deferred maintenance will show
up in financial statements as diminished value of capital.

Also, each governmental unit is required under GASB 34 to do consolidated
statements, instead of hiding lots of stuff in a cryptic maze of "special
funds".  It will be possible for the first time to actually compare
financial statements across different local and state governments.  (Maybe
that's why some folks hate GASB 34.)

Even better, governments will no longer be allowed to offer up all kinds
of financial bizarreness with only a shrug.  GASB 34 requires an explicit
statement clearly explaining changes in financial position.

The goal here is to make government budgets and financial reports more
complete and less cryptic.  Next time you hear some bureaucrat bellyaching
about all the work to implement GASB 34, remind them of this!


#116 of 130 by i on Fri Oct 17 00:50:24 2003:

Hmmm.  Don't attempts to audit the books of large government entities
often return "FATAL ERROR - too many accounting records were never kept, 
are in error, or are missing; audit unable to figure out what they have,
what they owe, or where the money's been going."?  


#117 of 130 by gull on Fri Oct 17 01:24:35 2003:

Yeah.  They neglect to pay someone to make up the numbers like large
corporations do.


#118 of 130 by gelinas on Fri Oct 17 05:11:50 2003:

How large, Walter?  The Army has its own audit agency, to check up on its
commands and units.


#119 of 130 by i on Sat Oct 18 02:47:08 2003:

Re: #118
I've no idea whether the Army has accounting problems, but they are far
above the minimum for "large".  Enron probably had a large staff of
auditors, too...the devil is in the details.


#120 of 130 by tod on Sat Oct 18 14:27:08 2003:

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#121 of 130 by polygon on Sun Oct 19 15:18:00 2003:

Re 116.  No, a governmental unit which couldn't get an auditor's letter
would be unable to borrow money.  That would be disastrous.  I have not
heard about any large government units being unauditable, at least, not
in recent years.


#122 of 130 by jp2 on Sun Oct 19 21:15:36 2003:

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#123 of 130 by polygon on Mon Oct 20 05:16:52 2003:

What's DISA?


#124 of 130 by jp2 on Mon Oct 20 12:21:09 2003:

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#125 of 130 by tod on Mon Oct 20 15:24:42 2003:

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#126 of 130 by tpryan on Tue Oct 21 19:56:34 2003:

/tpryan catches up on reading

        I thought that everyone learning English was once the liberal,
society changing thing to do.
        I think it came from the labor movement of the late 19th
Century, particularly the mining unions.  The idea was that the
union could not have solidarity if they could not talk to each
other.  Germans, French, Welsh, English and other nationalities
learned that now they could act as a unit, instead of suspision
of those of other languages.  'The Man' would have loved to deal
with each group, each less than half the workforce, by themselves.


#127 of 130 by jaklumen on Wed Oct 22 01:13:48 2003:

Interesting.  Apparently times and circumstances have changed somewhat.


#128 of 130 by keesan on Wed Oct 29 01:18:45 2003:

The west branch library in Ann Arbor has an interesting pumpkin with a picture
of Schwarzenegger and some comments.


#129 of 130 by willcome on Thu Nov 27 07:51:53 2003:

http://images.google.ca/images?hl=en&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&safe=off&q=whore&sa=
N&t
ab=wi&meta=

Very few of those pictures are of real whores, but the ones taht are are gems.


#130 of 130 by naftee on Fri Nov 28 00:35:25 2003:

DON"T VIEW THAT AT WORK


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