Grex Agora46 Conference

Item 105: Uday and Qusay dead; victims of a family dispute over money?

Entered by russ on Tue Jul 22 21:25:02 2003:

NPR has been reporting this afternoon that Uday and Qusay Hussein,
the eldest sons of Saddam Hussein, are confirmed dead after a
3-hour firefight in the Iraqi city of Mosul.

The house in which they were killed is said to be owned by a tribal
leader who is also a cousin of Saddam; the owner was reported to
have been seen talking with US soldiers after the battle, leading
to suspicion that he turned in the two for the $15 million/head
reward.
122 responses total.

#1 of 122 by tod on Tue Jul 22 21:37:39 2003:

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#2 of 122 by twenex on Tue Jul 22 21:59:50 2003:

Let that be a lesson to Muslim clerics who think capitalism is Anti-Islamic.
Hopefully this'll shut up all those ingrates who think they can have democracy
and home rule in a day; don't they realise if it was that easy they'd have
brought it in as soon as they gained independence from the UK?


#3 of 122 by other on Tue Jul 22 22:09:28 2003:

What the FUCK are we doing giving away $30 million dollars to some 
schmuck backstabber just for letting us kill his cousins for him?


#4 of 122 by scott on Tue Jul 22 22:16:37 2003:

Don't worry, there's plenty of money in the budget thanks to Bush's excellent
fiscal policies. 
</SARCASM>


#5 of 122 by tod on Tue Jul 22 22:52:55 2003:

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#6 of 122 by bru on Wed Jul 23 00:13:08 2003:

nad it was a 6 hout firefight...


#7 of 122 by jor on Wed Jul 23 00:47:02 2003:

        200 against 4


#8 of 122 by jep on Wed Jul 23 02:24:19 2003:

re resp:3: Given that we're not packing up and leaving Iraq to be re-
taken over by Baathists led by Saddam and/or his family... you'd have 
rather used another method of digging out these people, such as maybe 
occupation for another 10 years?

While I have a lot more misgivings over the invasion of Iraq than I 
did at the start of the war, I'd still say that

1) The Hussein sons were part of the problem we invaded Iraq to solve;

2) While they lived, they were very likely to be a continuing problem;

3) It was a whole lot cheaper to get someone to sell them out than to 
find and arrest and/or kill them

4) Even so, I bet $15 or $30 million in reward money was a drop in the 
bucket of the money we spent in trying to find these people.

We're spending a few billion per month or thereabouts in fighting in 
Iraq, as well as more American soldiers' lives every day.  This was 
not a big expense.  It was probably money pretty well spent.


#9 of 122 by lk on Wed Jul 23 05:44:36 2003:

Yes, but in the bazaar westerners frequently overpay and walk away
thinking they got the deal of the century. 

I suspect that a $3 million reward would have been just as effective.
(What's that in worthless Iraqi currency?)


#10 of 122 by janc on Wed Jul 23 06:06:15 2003:

Irrelevant.  The rewards had to sound big to Americans, because they need to
convince Americans that Bush is tough on Sadam.


#11 of 122 by pvn on Wed Jul 23 06:14:34 2003:

re#8: Damn well spent.  Plus US full faith and credit redemption bonds
(US dollar) are going to circulate and incentivize the exchange of goods
and services which helps motivate the iraqi people as well.  What good
was money if you don't know if you are going to be around to spend it,
and why buy things if the government figures might just take it from you
on a whim.  Now under the current regime things are a lot different
thanks be to allah.  (Kalifornia could learn from this)

re#9: Ah, youd.  It is indeed odd the barbarian habit of telegraphing
interest and price.  Perhaps they should do the same and offer a gift in
return for a gift of WMD?

re#10:  I would think that when the Americans spend dozens of billions
of dollars a few millions would be seen as the price of a couple of
helicopters or tanks.  The perceived value to the Iraqis - who gripe
about paying 50 cents for a gallon of gas - the bounty would seem
incalculably large.


#12 of 122 by janc on Wed Jul 23 13:46:55 2003:

Actually, any Iraqi who collects the bounty on Saddam or his sons is very
likely to become the biggest assassination target in Iraq.  I expect the first
dollar spent will be on a plane ticket to Switzerland.  So don't bet on a lot
of this money circulating in Iraq.


#13 of 122 by jep on Wed Jul 23 14:05:58 2003:

re 9 and 10: Very likely the same results could have been gotten for 
$3 million.  That would have been a better deal, as it would have 
saved enough for us to occupy Iraq for another half hour or so.

But yeah, there was a publicity benefit for Bush in America.  Of 
course.  Iraqis aren't going to vote for president in the next 
election.


#14 of 122 by sabre on Wed Jul 23 15:29:11 2003:

I actually agree with twenex on this issue.

Fuck all the rest of you Bush bashing crybabies.
None of you have a clue about politics...you just think it's "cool" to be a
liberal dipshit.

I think all liberals should be exiled..to France.  You can all buttfuck each
other there.(Oh yea I forgot...you scumbags have changed our law on that also)
Actually I think it would be better if you would all get AIDS and die.
So buttfuck away liberal scum


#15 of 122 by gull on Wed Jul 23 15:31:43 2003:

I agree with jep.  One of the issues working against us right now is
that Iraqis are afraid to side with the U.S., for fear Saddam will come
back into power.  This is a step towards eliminating thta fear.

Re #14: Fess up.  You're really Ann Coulter, aren't you? ;>


#16 of 122 by edina on Wed Jul 23 17:02:29 2003:

Ann Coulter.  ROTFLMAO!!!


#17 of 122 by rcurl on Wed Jul 23 17:24:40 2003:

I don't support the new American policy of political assassination. Once
upon a time we supported the trial of war and other criminals. There are
good grounds for capturing the Iraqi leaders alive and trying them. Somehow
this has lost standing and assassination has become the preferred solution
to the problem of criminality. 

I understand the arguments for assassination - swift and final and
decapitates an opposition. Nations throughout history have practiced it.
Even on their own citizens. Saddam did it. Now we are doing it. 



#18 of 122 by jep on Wed Jul 23 17:33:49 2003:

Responses 2, 3, 10 and 12 are more or less straight Bush-bashing.  No 
matter what happens, no matter what he does, Bush is wrong, and is 
going to get criticized for it.  The arguments given were not 
reasonable, they are exclusively partisan.  It's surprising to see who 
is acting that way, but even the most thoughtful, reasonable and best-
spoken amongst us are devoted to our opinions.  I certainly am.  
There's no reason that better people than me can't be as well.  But in 
this item, their comments so far pretty much have to be discounted, as 
they don't have a shred of fairness to them.

We have invaded Iraq and successfully driven out Saddam Hussein's 
government.  Anything done from this point on has to accept that that 
has happened, and nothing can undo it.  If you don't start there, 
you're not in the real world and your comments are fully irrelevant.

Since we're in Iraq, we're not going to abandon the results of our 
efforts to this point.  We're not going to abruptly pull out of Iraq.  

We are going to put in some more effort (and American soldiers, and 
lots and lots of money) and make things work as well as we can, 
according to the plan we've been using so far and any modifications to 
it that are made.

And the president is going to declare this all to be a success.  His 
political opponents are going to declare it to be a miserable failure.  
Neither of those facts is based on any other facts at all.  They're 
completely independent of anything that happens in Iraq.

In that context -- the real world -- spending $30 million to target 
Saddam's main goons (and heirs) makes sense.


#19 of 122 by tod on Wed Jul 23 17:34:26 2003:

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#20 of 122 by sj2 on Wed Jul 23 17:41:33 2003:

I thought criminals of war were supposed to be tried by tribunals 
instead of this cowboy-style assassinations. 

200 plus helicopter gunships versus four. Heh, some trial.


#21 of 122 by rcurl on Wed Jul 23 17:55:20 2003:

Re #18: do you apply that argument to crimes like murder? "Anything done
from this point on has to accept that that has happened, and nothing can
undo it." So, what should be done about it? Just move on and forget about
the past? You recommend that for murderers too?

All of our treatment of criminal events are after the fact. But it is
still necessary to assign culpability and apply suitable punishment in
order to help maintain some level of civil responsibility. 



#22 of 122 by janc on Wed Jul 23 20:29:46 2003:

I can see where you might consider resp:10 to be "Bush Bashing" but
resp:12 isn't even about him.

It's entirely possible that my opinions of Bush's policies are colored
by the fact that he disgusts me so much.  I think he's the worst president
that we've had in my life, easily displacing Nixon for the title.  I have
so little respect for his integrity, for his ability to give a damn about
anybody but himself, that it is difficult for me to believe there are
honest motives behind anything he does.


#23 of 122 by tod on Wed Jul 23 20:40:46 2003:

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#24 of 122 by jep on Wed Jul 23 21:13:45 2003:

re resp:22: resp:12 continued the tone established in resp:10, and
it  gave this message: "No matter what, it's bad and it's Bush's fault".   
Resp:11 facetiously cites a slight economic benefit to Iraq for the  reward
money and you even have to vigorously dispute *that*?  It was  certainly clear
you hated Bush.  Your resp:12 was about Bush.

re resp:21: Aren't you the guy who defends the right to abortion as 
being moral because the law says it's legal?  Why are you now talking 
about crime?

No crime was committed.  The Hussein boys were dealt with in the way 
anyone is dealt with who is resisting arrest with guns.  I'm sure we'd 
have rather had them in custody than blasted apart by bombs.

I don't agree with the military tribunals, either.  I'm not in favor of 
a policy of assassination, but then, I don't think we (generally) have 
one.  


#25 of 122 by klg on Wed Jul 23 23:51:32 2003:

A six hour firefight is an "assassination"?

Now does Mr. rcurl understand why I wish to have him define the terms 
he tosses about????


#26 of 122 by rcurl on Thu Jul 24 00:08:22 2003:

You seem to be the one with difficulty with simple, clear, English.

From http://www.cnn.com/2002/LAW/11/04/us.assassination.policy/

"In a section of the order labeled "Restrictions on Intelligence
Activities," Ford outlawed political assassination: Section 5(g), entitled
"Prohibition on Assassination," states: "No employee of the United States
Government shall engage in, or conspire to engage in, political
assassination." 

"Since 1976, every U.S. president has upheld Ford's prohibition on
assassinations. In 1978 President Carter issued an executive order with
the chief purpose of reshaping the intelligence structure. In Section
2-305 of that order, Carter reaffirmed the U.S. prohibition on
assassination. 

"In 1981, President Reagan, through Executive Order 12333, reiterated the
assassination prohibition. Reagan was the last president to address the
topic of political assassination. Because no subsequent executive order or
piece of legislation has repealed the prohibition, it remains in effect.

That is, until some subsequent presidents just ignored the policy, most
recently, and mostly clearly, by Bush.


#27 of 122 by tod on Thu Jul 24 00:16:02 2003:

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#28 of 122 by jep on Thu Jul 24 00:55:38 2003:

Wait a minute, Rane.  I don't necessarily agree that yesterday's attack 
was an assassination.  Would you care to support your assertion?

I generally think of assassinations as being highly covert, attacks 
very specifically directed individually at a single person with no 
intention to harm anyone else, carried out by a single person, and 
using weapons such as a handgun or knife, or poison.

It is very much a legitimate military operation -- and not an 
assassination -- to attack a military installation for an opponent.  
It's legitimate to attack a military leader with weapons of war in 
order to disrupt the opponent's ability to make war.  It wasn't an 
assassination attempt when Clinton sent cruise missiles into Yemen 
against Osama bin Laden's base, or when Reagan sent cruise missiles 
against Moammar Khaddafy in Libya -- were they?  I never heard anyone 
call either of those attacks an "assassination attempt".

It is a legitimate police action to respond with force to someone who 
is resisting arrest.  For example, the assault on the Branch Davidian 
compound in Waco, Texas was not an assassination attempt, it was an 
effort -- which went badly wrong -- to arrest the leader of the Branch 
Davidians.  At least that's how I understand it.


#29 of 122 by rcurl on Thu Jul 24 00:57:01 2003:

There wasn't a legal war, for one thing, but in addition Bush had declared
the open hostilities over. In any case, it would have been possible to
capture the brothers alive, but this option seems not to have been
considered. 

I agree that the brothers were sadistic butchers, but it is tragic to see
our government emulating them. 

"Never, never, never believe any war will be smooth and easy, or that
anyone who embarks on the strange voyage can measure the tides and
hurricanes he will encounter. The statesman who yields to war fever must
realize that once the signal is given, he is no longer the master of
policy but the slave of unforeseeable and uncontrollable events." 

                                     Sir Winston Churchill (1874 - 1965)



#30 of 122 by janc on Thu Jul 24 02:48:41 2003:

I have to disagree with Rane.  This isn't assassination.  In the first
place, I don't believe killing Saddam or his sons is the goal.  I
haven't been following this closely, but I think they'd prefer to take
him alive.

Second, they are legitimate military targets in what is obviously a war.
No, it hasn't been properly declared, but that's not especially Bush's
fault.  Our wimpy congressional noodles (of both parties) have entirely
abandoned the congressional responsibility to declare war.  They haven't
done in in ages.  The notion that this is not a war is a stupid
political fiction.  For all moral purposes this is a war.

I don't like the ransoms much, but I don't consider them illegal or
immoral in the current context.  I think they bad tactically.  It may
play well in the US, but I'd guess that it will spin badly in Iraq.  In
the minds of Iraqis, who are the Iraq citizens who cooperate with the
Americans:

  (1)  Iraqi patriots working for a better future for all of Iraqi, or

  (2)  Greedy traitors, helping America against their own people for
       personal gain.

It's vital to the success of the American mission in Iraq that the Iraqi
people eventually except option (1).  The more people believe that, the
safer our troops in Iraq will be.  Our enemies in Iraq will be pushing
view (2).  The more people believe that, the more Iraqis will oppose us
or refuse to help us, and the more Americans will die.  These extremely
public and extremely large bribes draw a lot of attention.  The people
who get these ransoms will be among the most prominent Iraqis "friendly"
to the US, among the first to come to mind when ordinary Iraqi people
think of people friendly to America.  And they fit resoundingly into
category (2).  The whole thing can be spun very strongly against
America's mission in Iraq.  Our claim is that we are there for the good
of the people to depose the hated tyrant Saddam.  Offering huge bribes
to the people to try to convince them to help us catch Sadam undermines
that claim.  If the people really hate Saddam and love us, then they
shouldn't need such buge bribes to cooperate with us.  Offering so huge
a bribe suggests that it would take such a huge bribe to convince
someone to turn Saddam in to us.

So my reading of this is that the bribes improve Bush's image in the US
as a tough leader who will stop at nothing to bring down the bad guy,
but undermine our stated mission in Iraq.  Which doesn't much surprise
me because I think Bush has told mostly lies about why we are in Iraq. I
much prefered presidents who mostly just lied about their sex lives.

I don't think these ransoms will ultimately cost more American lives. 
They would if we meant to stay there in the long run, but I think Bush
will pack up and leave as soon as he can plausibly declare victory. 
Killing or catching Saddam might well be that point, and the bribes
could speed that up.  Getting our troops out faster may save more lives
than cranking up the hatred for our troops costs.  Plus getting out
troops out before the election would be good for Bush.


#31 of 122 by pvn on Thu Jul 24 04:34:56 2003:

It is apparently likely that one or both of the brothers committed
actual suicide rather than "suicide by cop" as it were.  Either way, no
deliberate assassination attempt per se.  In any event you don't conduct
a 6-hour firefight to assassinate someone, you drop 4 2Klb smart bombs
on the room they are in.  The brothers chose to fight, they chose to
die.


#32 of 122 by rcurl on Thu Jul 24 05:41:55 2003:

We don't have the full story yet, but it would have been perfectly practical
to surround the building and wait them out (cutting power and water). If
they commit suicide, then that's that. But there was no need for another
Waco style seige. I consider it an assassination because killing them was
a higher priority than capturing them. 


#33 of 122 by jep on Thu Jul 24 13:07:18 2003:

resp:30 was a lot more analytical.  Thanks, Jan!

I don't entirely agree, but I agree with some of it at least.

I don't think the reward money is necessarily an indication to anyone 
of a level of support for America or for Saddam Hussein.  I think it 
was a recognition of risk.  The person who accepts that reward money is 
sure enough going to be a target.  He probably ought to leave the 
country for his own safety.

How much would it cost for you to leave your country?  It'd take more 
than $30 million for me, at least, it probably would.  The person who 
collects, if he is a relative of Saddam Hussein's, probably has a lot 
more money than I do.  Who knows, maybe he'll have to split it with 30 
members of his family.  Maybe they'll all have to leave Iraq.  If they 
don't, maybe they'll all be killed.  Maybe they'll be followed, 
wherever they go.  How much money would it take for you to risk all 
that?  Would you put your family in the situation of that kind of risk 
and turmoil just because you thought it was the right thing to do for 
your country?

I just don't think $30 million is all that much for someone to get, 
considering what Saddam Hussein and his followers were/are like.  I 
don't think it's much at all for America to spend.  I think it's worth 
a lot to have a couple of top Hussein heirs out of the political 
picture in Iraq.

As far as spin... sure, it's America buying someone's soul.  (Geez, 
turning in a family member?)  Or else it's not being cheap, and giving 
someone the means to be able to survive turning in the very top aides 
of a dangerous dictator.  I think Iraqis might see it either way, or 
both ways at once.  I think if it works, things settle down a lot, a 
new government is established, electricity and phone service and the 
economy are stabilized, and America doesn't occupy Iraq for decades, 
the spin will work out to be pretty good.


#34 of 122 by klg on Thu Jul 24 16:31:19 2003:

We checked the dictionary.  It appears that Mr. rcurl did not and is 
once again using words to suit his own extreme viewpoints.

as sas si nate : transitive verb  1 : to injure or destroy unexpectedly 
and treacherously
2 : to murder by sudden or secret attack usually for impersonal reasons

1.  Do you believe the the Messrs. Saddams did not expect to be 
attacked??

2.  The news reported that prior to the extended firefight, U.S. troops 
went to the door of the residence and requested permission to search.  
If the request had been approved it would have facilitated the non-
violent apprehension of the two gentlemen.


And Mr. janc appears to have had a lapse of his normally well-state 
positions.  As the constitution reads, it clearly does not provide 
Congress with the sole authority to go to war:

Section. 8. 
Clause 1: The Congress shall have Power To   
Clause 11: To declare War, grant Letters of Marque and Reprisal, and 
make Rules concerning Captures on Land and Water; .


re:  "#32 (rcurl):  We don't have the full story yet, but it would have 
been perfectly practical to surround the building and wait them out..."

How does Mr. rcurl know the practicality of such a strategy??  What 
possiblities exist for surruptitious escapes under the cover of 
darkness or through underground tunnels?


#35 of 122 by gull on Thu Jul 24 19:59:07 2003:

Re #33: Personally, I'd leave the U.S. for a lot less than $33 million.
 But that's just me.


#36 of 122 by slynne on Thu Jul 24 21:15:53 2003:

Well. I would only consider it if I could go live in France. ;)


#37 of 122 by tod on Thu Jul 24 22:11:21 2003:

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#38 of 122 by scg on Thu Jul 24 22:33:05 2003:

I've paid money (to airlines) in order to leave the US in the past, but I've
also paid the airlines to bring me back here.  There's are big differences
between leaving home on a trip, leaving a previous home to move elsewhere
knowing that you can come back and visit, and leaving knowing you can never
see those you are close to again.

Of course, 150 years ago that last scenario was pretty common, since that was
what moving any significant distance meant.  I have plenty of ancestors who
did so, as probably do most of us.  That doesn't make it any easier for me
to imagine now.


#39 of 122 by tod on Thu Jul 24 22:53:18 2003:

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#40 of 122 by pvn on Fri Jul 25 04:16:23 2003:

re#32:  Perhaps police officers have the training and the patience to
wait out someone who shoots at them.  Troopers on the otherhand are
trained to kill someone who shoots at them.


#41 of 122 by rcurl on Fri Jul 25 06:24:03 2003:

There seems to be considerable objection to the killing of the brothers
rather than their capture among Iraqi citizens. Many would have liked to
have seen them captured and tried, largely to attain what people call
"closure"  for all those who suffered at their hands. That is, they wanted
a full airing of their cruelty to their faces. It is apparent that Iraqi
citizens were not consulted on the course of action to take in this. 
Typically, Bush's legions rush headlong and headstrong into use of force
above thought. 



#42 of 122 by jep on Fri Jul 25 12:49:34 2003:

Maybe there should have been a nationwide referendum in Iraq.  "Should 
the Hussein brothers be shot and killed, or should US forces attempt to 
contain them and eventually arrest them?"  That way, a popular decision 
could have been assured.


#43 of 122 by gull on Fri Jul 25 12:49:59 2003:

Re #40: Unless they're Detroit police officers. ;>


#44 of 122 by klg on Fri Jul 25 16:21:51 2003:

Perhaps Odai and Qusai could have benefited from human shields.  (Mr. 
rcurl, are you busy these days??)


#45 of 122 by tod on Fri Jul 25 16:49:39 2003:

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#46 of 122 by rcurl on Fri Jul 25 16:54:53 2003:

The "consultation" with the Iraqi public could have occurred if the brothers
had been taken alive, in the form of a trial - you know, the former American
standard of justive.

Someone above objected to their killing being called "assassination". 
Perhaps "lynching" would be better? That is closer to another American
standard of frontier justice, when the posse breaks down the jailhouse
door and enacts "justice" on their own terms. Unfortunately there seems to
be no strict but honest Marshalls in our army. 



#47 of 122 by klg on Fri Jul 25 17:02:02 2003:

(Has Mr. rcurl been paying attention?)


#48 of 122 by novomit on Fri Jul 25 17:06:00 2003:

Ah, yes, but could either of these two gentlemen have gotten a fair trial in
Iraq? 


#49 of 122 by tod on Fri Jul 25 17:11:25 2003:

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#50 of 122 by rcurl on Fri Jul 25 17:30:09 2003:

If by the "LAST time" you mean the Bush I war - Iraq had invaded Kuwait,
and we went to their defense. This time, we invaded Iraq.


#51 of 122 by tod on Fri Jul 25 18:23:40 2003:

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#52 of 122 by rcurl on Fri Jul 25 19:27:01 2003:

That's pretty loopy (thanks, scg!). The Bush I war was ended with terms
agreed to by the UN and everyone else involved in the action. That was
then done and finished. Other things happened after that, but no one
invaded anyone else, or even threatened them, until the US invaded Iraq
with no legitimate provocation. 

Of course it all is in the course of history in a particular region, but
there is no justification in the outcomes of the the Bush I war to justify
instigating the Bush II war, except for the war mongering of the Bush II
administration.


#53 of 122 by carson on Fri Jul 25 19:37:02 2003:

(...because the Iraqi government had met all of the terms and conditions
agreed upon in 1991, right?)


#54 of 122 by janc on Fri Jul 25 19:45:47 2003:

To be the same war, it would kind of have to have the same armies on both
sides.  The first one was UN vs Iraq.  The second one was US vs Iraq.  It's
different.


#55 of 122 by tod on Fri Jul 25 19:47:25 2003:

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#56 of 122 by jep on Sat Jul 26 01:21:28 2003:

I am confident the US army would have happily taken the brothers 
Hussein captive, if they were sure they could do so.  I find it hard 
to imagine how anyone could believe otherwise -- other than because of 
such passionate dislike for the president, military or war effort that 
they aren't rational.  Maybe some Army private overlooked the 
political implications of a military assault on a house, but the whole 
military surely did not.


#57 of 122 by rcurl on Sat Jul 26 01:43:28 2003:

So, why didn't them captive? Nothing was stopping them except temporarily
(until they ran out of ammo/food/water/poweer/allofthese)? 200  troops,
several helicopters firing rockets, machine gun raking of the structure, and
I believe RPGs, don't sound like an effort to take them captive.


#58 of 122 by scg on Sat Jul 26 01:48:19 2003:

What would you have them do if the Hussein brothers were shooting at them?


#59 of 122 by scott on Sat Jul 26 02:05:30 2003:

The current version of the official story is that the troops didn't know who
was in the building, just that they were higher-ups.

Anyway, they got some recognizable bodies to show off, which is almost as
good.

<blatant Bush-bashing ON>
Actually, if they'd been taken alive they might have been able to give
crucial evidence about WMD.  But luckily we're longer apparently worried about
WMDs, that was just an excuse to sell the war.


#60 of 122 by jep on Sat Jul 26 02:18:16 2003:

re resp:57: Rane, couldn't it be possible they would have escaped 
somehow, or been rescued by followers, or just caused a lot of damage, 
if they were beseiged?  I think it might have been reasonable to 
assume any or all of those possibilities might exist and be worse than 
directly assaulting the building.


#61 of 122 by rcurl on Sat Jul 26 03:01:57 2003:

Nonsense. Troops can be protected from gunfire from the building. Tear gas
and other non-lethal weapons are available to drive out occupants. Time was
on our side. Escape routes would be known to us from the same source that
informed us they were there. Our our troops so incompetent that they can't
maintain a secure seige?


#62 of 122 by tod on Sat Jul 26 03:09:09 2003:

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#63 of 122 by jep on Sat Jul 26 12:06:12 2003:

re resp:61: Things probably don't seem as clear when people are 
shooting at you, and when you have actual military experience like the 
commanders in Iraq, as they do when you're safely in another part of 
the world.


#64 of 122 by russ on Sat Jul 26 13:19:26 2003:

Re #46:  Y'know, Rane, sometimes I wonder about your mental faculties.
(Okay, *most* times, but still.)  You seem to have the idea that two
assaults on the building by soldiers, plus an advance warning with
loudspeakers, does not constitute opportunity to surrender.  Huh?
(If they intended to die fighting, could we have prevented that?)

You also seem to think that taking those people alive (which was not
guaranteed even without the TOW missiles)  was more important than
the lives of our troops.  Curiously enough, many (including you?) are
saying that the continued occupation of Iraq isn't worth the lives of
the troops we're losing.  Care to explain this bit of schizophrenia?

If the Iraqi people want to put someone on trial, Saddam is still out
there.  There are also a lot more high-ranking officials and SRG
officers, prison wardens and others.  There will be justice.


#65 of 122 by novomit on Sat Jul 26 14:30:28 2003:

If the Iraqi people really want to put someone on tral, GW is still out there.
I did not approve of the invasion of Iraq, although I fail to see how the
deaths of these two cats is anything to be worried about, unless the reports
were faked. Tony Blair and George Bush should still be hung for attacking a
country that was not threatening us, (let's forget about Korea) but all the
same, the urder of these two thugs hardly needed a trial to establish guilt.


#66 of 122 by rcurl on Sat Jul 26 18:25:46 2003:

Re #64: police actions in this country are condemned when the police just
go in shooting. The negotiated surrender is much favored. There is no
reason not to have held out for the surrender of the brothers. It can be
done even if those sought are shooting, without injury to those
surrounding the building. It has been done. We have too much of the SWAT
team mentality. 

There was much to be gained from capturing these miscreants and conducting
trials, if nothing else to demonstrate to the Iraqis that there is a brand
of justice that is not like Saddam's, and that we support that kind of
justice (We do, don't we? We don't seem to be demonstrating it very well).

And, Russ, you must be awfully self-absorbed to think that only your
opinion is of any value and the opinions of others call for personal
attacks and stupid name calling, and distortions of what others write. 
Where have I said "continued occupation of Iraq isn't worth the lives of
the troops we're losing"? What I think about that is that it was
undertaking the war itself that put our soldiers into harm's way but now
that we entered into that folly, we have no option but to work it out for
the best. That should not include lynching parties.



#67 of 122 by novomit on Sat Jul 26 21:21:19 2003:

I think your second paragab made a good point. 


#68 of 122 by mary on Sat Jul 26 22:31:32 2003:

I totally agree with your second paragraph.


#69 of 122 by gelinas on Sun Jul 27 01:30:46 2003:

I agree with the second paragraph.  Too bad the first shows so little
understanding of the real world.

When the only ones likely to be shooting are on the inside, it's easy to
stand off and wait them out.  When shooting can come from any where, it's
far less easy to maintain a siege.  And soldiers aren't police officers;
the two work under very different rules.  (This is one reason why the
commanders were so unwilling to require their units to act as policemen
when they were trying to fight a war.)


#70 of 122 by bru on Sun Jul 27 02:23:27 2003:

Apparently you haven't listened to the reports Rcurl.  The soldiers surrounded
the building and tried to get them to surrender.  They took fire from the home
and ffrom surrounding buildings.

You don't have time to wait them out.  Saddams supporters could have been
moving in to give them support.  remember, this is in the area of some of his
strongest support.  Do you want the rebels to puut together a strike force
and catch our troops in a crossfire?

Those two miscreants were not worth the blood of any more of our soldiers.
I am not willing to trade life for life.  And in a war torn country, you do
not have the luxury to sit back and wait for them to act. To do so is deadly.

Maybe you believe their really is an impossible missions force that could
sneak in there and take them without firing a single shot.  FIne, go watch
the movies, forget the real world.

How long could they have held out?  Depands on haow much food and water and
ammo they had.  

It was not an assasination.  It was a military engagement.


#71 of 122 by russ on Sun Jul 27 08:44:03 2003:

Re #66:  Ah, our emphasis on negotiated surrender must be why Ruby
Ridge and Waco have acquired the connotations they now have.  Thanks
so much for clearing that up!


#72 of 122 by tod on Sun Jul 27 18:45:46 2003:

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#73 of 122 by rcurl on Sun Jul 27 18:50:34 2003:

They were told it was the brothers. But it all comes down to the
difference between shoot-first and ask questions afterward, versus
thinking diplomatically. The USA current mode is shoot first. Of course,
that has gotten ua into a guerilla war of attrition, with us as the
attritees, which has no end in sight. We are vastly outnumbered by the
"missing" Iraqi Republican Guard.



#74 of 122 by tod on Sun Jul 27 19:02:59 2003:

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#75 of 122 by jep on Mon Jul 28 03:05:43 2003:

re resp:66: The advantages of capturing the Hussein brothers, versus 
killing them, is indeed clear and obvious to everyone around, and was 
last week as well.  It's clear to us, it's clear to the US troops, 
it's really, *really* clear.  If the troops didn't do it that way, 
then there's a reason for it.

It may be that every single one of the US troops is irremediably 
stupid, and add in vicious, and that they killed the Hussein brothers 
for malicious reasons.  I guess you could dream up such a scenario, 
for a poorly plotted novel, anyway.  You could even imagine the White 
House ordered the Husseins to be killed rather than captured.  But, 
you can't do either of those things, and believe them to be true, 
without being an idiot.

It may be convenient for one's political labels to assume the 
government and military are both that dumb.  It is obviously wildly 
inaccurate, though, given even the slightest moment's thought.


#76 of 122 by rcurl on Mon Jul 28 06:49:21 2003:

Since you assume that our military "can do no wrong", you arrive at
your conclusions. But, as you know, "to err is human". Clinton said so.


#77 of 122 by tod on Mon Jul 28 16:20:59 2003:

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#78 of 122 by jep on Mon Jul 28 17:40:35 2003:

re resp:76: I hardly assumed that our military "can do no wrong".  You 
are assuming they can do no right.

You are missing entirely that it's not likely the commanders in the 
region didn't realize the advantages and disadvantages of the choices 
they made.  In fact, they have more information than we do, even if we 
all read a couple of newspapers a day.  They're also reasonably 
intelligent.  Prejudices that people only go into the military if they 
are too stupid to contribute to society are wildly inaccurate.


#79 of 122 by rcurl on Mon Jul 28 17:49:40 2003:

What's your evidence for that?


#80 of 122 by tod on Mon Jul 28 17:56:53 2003:

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#81 of 122 by jep on Mon Jul 28 19:05:25 2003:

re resp:79: What's my evidence for what?  That not all of the military 
are idiots?  My experience in the National Guard, and with some 
excellent prior-service sergeants, was sufficient.  That they have more 
information than we do?  Hahaha.  That prejudices about only stupid 
people being in the military are wrong?  I present Todd Plesco (loginid 
tod), Rich Sheff (krokus), and even myself (though I was a part-timer, 
not a real service man such as they were).

And your evidence to the contrary?


#82 of 122 by tod on Mon Jul 28 19:28:50 2003:

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#83 of 122 by rcurl on Mon Jul 28 19:44:39 2003:

It is incorrect to make categorical statements about the honesty,
morality, or any other characteristic of a *group* of people. Remember Mai
Lai in Vietnam? The serviceman in Iraq that tossed a grenade into his
colleagues tent and murdered some of them? There will also be individuals
that are cruel, indifferent to suffering, too quick to shoot, etc. This
can include persons of any rank. It is a significant problem that "war" is
used as an excuse for all sorts of despicable acts.

I don't care what justification they - or you - manufacture after the
fact: it was possible and they should have captured the brothers alive.


#84 of 122 by tod on Mon Jul 28 19:58:21 2003:

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#85 of 122 by jep on Mon Jul 28 21:58:58 2003:

re resp:83: Rane, you were calling all of the US troops involved in the 
Hussein brothers incident idiots (resp:76 and other comments based on 
that assumption).  I was arguing that they are not all idiots (resp:78, 
para.2), in case you've forgotten our respective positions.  You were 
questioning my assertion (resp:79) and I proved it correct (resp:81).

Now, maybe it's time for you to defend your prejudicial and fatuous 
comments on which your arguments have been based, or to admit you were 
wrong.  I think you don't have any basis at all for your remarks 
throughout this item.


#86 of 122 by rcurl on Tue Jul 29 00:15:07 2003:

Nowhere have I stated that "all of the US troops involved in the Hussein
brothers incident [are] idiots", so don't make further false statements.


#87 of 122 by jep on Tue Jul 29 01:19:37 2003:

Nowhere did I state that you stated that.


#88 of 122 by scott on Tue Jul 29 01:29:43 2003:

From #85 (jep):
"re resp:83: Rane, you were calling all of the US troops involved in the
 Hussein brothers incident idiots"

How quickly we forget our own words...

Anyway, the troops are not idiots, just green.  In WWII the first few
months of US involvement were a confused mess.  Combat is not something easy
to learn or even something you can really teach properly.  New technologies,
battle conditions, environments will require some adaption time.


#89 of 122 by tod on Tue Jul 29 18:53:35 2003:

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#90 of 122 by rcurl on Tue Jul 29 20:14:07 2003:

I doubt that a TOW missle was a necessity: they weren't shooting at a tank.


#91 of 122 by tod on Tue Jul 29 20:53:50 2003:

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#92 of 122 by jep on Tue Jul 29 21:01:52 2003:

re resp:88: I phrased what I said most carefully, and kept in mind the 
entire previous discussion when I did so.

The argument that it would have been better to capture Saddam Hussein's 
two sons (which everyone agrees on) but the military didn't do so and 
didn't have a good reason for doing so is all based on the military 
and/or government being idiots.  That's what I was arguing against 
yesterday.  

Rane didn't specifically state the quote he gave in resp:86.  However, 
his argument (and that of others) about the foolishness of the raid 
which killed the Hussein boys is based on the idea that all of the 
military personnel involved in the raid were stupid.  While every 
single person in the United States can instantly see the obvious fact 
that it would have been better to capture them, but no one in the 
military, on the spot, after weeks and months of briefings and 
training, realized that same thing.


#93 of 122 by rcurl on Tue Jul 29 22:31:48 2003:

You are leaping to a false conclusion, not based on anything I or anyone
else said. 

Nor did I say that the raid was "foolish". The raid was appropreate - for
the purpose of capturing the brothers alive. 

Yes, the military erred. The government erred in starting an unprovoked
war, so it is not too surprising that some elements of the military would
subsequently err in executing it. 

You are arguing that because a mistake was made, it could not have been
a mistake. Good luck....


#94 of 122 by scott on Wed Jul 30 00:47:27 2003:

I don't see a difference between "said" and "stated"  But then I've never
gotten Leeron to accept that position either.


#95 of 122 by jep on Wed Jul 30 02:25:35 2003:

You're being deliberately and determinedly obtuse, Scott.  I'm done 
explaining it to you.

re resp:93: Rane, I am stating that you are not considering all of the 
facts available to you.  You have come to an incorrect conclusion.  
The results of that raid were not the best imaginable results, but 
that does not mean there was a mistake.  Your criteria are in error.

The military decided the best course of action was to respond 
forcefully in that situation, and to kill the inhabitants of the 
house.  It was not a bad choice, even though we can all imagine 
potentially better results from that raid.  Possible worse results 
have been mentioned as well.

The advisability of the war, and the information used to come to the 
decision to go to war, did not determine the advisability or 
information available for every one of the specific decisions made by 
commanders in the Army.  For example, should hot dogs or hamburgers be 
served for dinner?  Should a machine gun or hand grenade be used at 
time X?  I don't think you can show a connection between the 
beginnings of the war, and whether it was a better idea to use a TOW 
rather than a seige to end the raid which killed the sons of Saddam 
Hussein.  If you can, please demonstrate.


#96 of 122 by rcurl on Wed Jul 30 05:29:21 2003:

I can only say that I see a pattern in the war and aftermaths: unprovoked
invasion; "shock and awe"; force overuse in apprehensions.


#97 of 122 by i on Thu Jul 31 00:46:25 2003:

Dear grexers with ground combat training/experience:
Is there some plausable way to capture heavily armed hostile soldiers
who are actively defending a well-fortified building?  (My understanding
is that the missles were used because smaller stuff was just bouncing 
off the heavy reinforced concrete "armor" of the structure - anyone know
more about this?)  Might armored engineering equipment suitable for such
a task have been available, and (if so), how long might it have taken to
get deployed & engaged?  If a well "dug in" hostile seriously does not
want to be taken alive (a pretty reasonable viewpoint for Saddam's sons),
what are the best ways to do it anyway (and how good are they)?  If an
otherwise-unremarkable building turns out to be well-fortified and well-
defended, and supposedly contains high-level enemy leaders, how likely
should (an) excape tunnel(s) be considered?  How fast can such a tunnel
be dug in a siege situation?


#98 of 122 by tod on Thu Jul 31 00:54:46 2003:

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#99 of 122 by klg on Thu Jul 31 01:40:43 2003:

There are tunnels under the borders of the Gaza strip which are used by 
terrorists.  Seems to us that there is plenty of sand thereabouts.


#100 of 122 by tod on Thu Jul 31 02:49:24 2003:

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#101 of 122 by jep on Thu Jul 31 03:20:34 2003:

Oh, nuts.  You can tunnel under sand.  You just need something to hold 
it up and stabilize it, such as sandbags or large amounts of concrete.

re resp:97: I don't have any training in this area, and so your 
opinion is as good as mine.  I was trained as a combat engineer, which 
is an infantryman with a shovel.

There are means of getting armed people out of a building, including 
1) siege, 2) a subtle attack such as sneaking in an unknown entrance 
or using a secret agent, 3) chemical weapons such as tear gas

1) A siege is a good choice if you control all of the surrounding 
area.  Hostage situations and beseiged insane gunmen situations are 
usually resolved in favor of the law because the law controls the 
surrounding area.  If the US military fully controlled the area around 
the house in which the Husseins were holding out, they probably could 
have just waited them out.  Downsides: The house could have then 
become a rally point for disgruntled Iraqis or even a target of 
Baathist military strikes; the Iraqis inside the house could have 
known of, or found, some way to escape.

2) The subtle approach requires that nothing unexpectedly goes wrong.  
It also requires a secret usable for a surprise for the beseiged 
people.  Apparently we didn't have any secret double agents with the 
Husseins.

3) Chemical weapons are notoriously unreliable.  They blow away, they 
dissipate because of heat, they blow over "us" instead of "them", 
they're defensible against if you have a gas mask and MOPP suit.  And 
of course, they're illegal to use in a war.  


#102 of 122 by novomit on Thu Jul 31 11:39:39 2003:

In war, everything is legal. Regardless of what the laws say. When someone
is trying to kill you or you want something that your enemies have, laws are
of no relevance. 


#103 of 122 by scott on Thu Jul 31 11:59:02 2003:

Gas was used in that Moscow theatre standoff with the Chechen rebels only a
year or two ago, and it ended up killing a significant number of peopl.


#104 of 122 by jmsaul on Thu Jul 31 13:07:05 2003:

They used a surgical anesthetic, which wasn't safe in that situation.


#105 of 122 by tod on Thu Jul 31 16:22:04 2003:

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#106 of 122 by jmsaul on Thu Jul 31 16:25:33 2003:

I admit they didn't have a lot of options, since the Chechens had the theater
wired with explosives and would have been hard to talk down.  It's hard to
second-guess them from here, but I do wonder whether the situation was urgent
enough that they had to go in right then, and whether they could have found
a gas that would have done the job with less health risks.


#107 of 122 by tod on Thu Jul 31 16:42:44 2003:

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#108 of 122 by bru on Thu Jul 31 17:25:24 2003:

the same arguements were used at Waco, could they not have waited?  There
comes a point where the depletion of resources may merit the use of a specific
weapon in an attempt to end it the threat.  Sich decision are always more
clear in hind-sight.


#109 of 122 by happyboy on Thu Jul 31 17:25:28 2003:

duud


#110 of 122 by rcurl on Thu Jul 31 18:41:36 2003:

Re #102: haven't you heard of the Geneva Convention?

It is said "all is fair in love and war" but, of course, that is nonsense.
Do you have no problem with torturing captive soldiers to obtain information,
or even just revenge?

Re #108: they are pretty clear at the time, too. We spend huge amounts
of both time and money in trying, convicting and punishing criminals: much
more than *any* waiting to outlast the Waco crowd, or the Hussein
brothers, would consume. It is a "false economy" to rush to judgement -
unless of course the only purpose is to avoid going through the "trouble"
of our system of justice. 


#111 of 122 by jmsaul on Fri Aug 1 03:55:56 2003:

Re #108:  You're actually defending the tactics used at Waco? 


#112 of 122 by rcurl on Fri Aug 1 06:55:42 2003:

Read it again.


#113 of 122 by jmsaul on Fri Aug 1 12:41:16 2003:

Yeah, I guess he wasn't exactly.


#114 of 122 by lk on Sat Aug 2 10:09:45 2003:

John, the funny thing about Jan's #10 is that I didn't view it as Bush
bashing. It was a good point which I hadn't considered, and I think it
condemns not Bush but the American people. (A $3 Million reward isn't
enough to impress us that Bush is being tough? (That's less than Federov
gets per game, right?)

Having said that, I totally disagree with Jan's #30, the part where he
states that ransoms (rewards) undermine the position of the US as a
friend in that we have to "bribe" people to assist us.

What Jan might be missing is that the millions of Iraqis who would be
happy to assist us (even for free) just don't have the info we need.
We're trying to convince the dozens who do have inside information, at
potential risk to themselves, to come forward.  Similarly, rewards
offered for the capture of domestic criminals or for finding lost
pets don't mean that we don't want criminals captured or puppies found.


Rane actually lost the "military intelligence/idiots" argument when
he asked John to prove that not everyone in the military was stupid.
(See #79)

As for "assassination", obviously this was not one, as Rane himself
later cites the Geneva Conventions. The option of surrender was given
and refused. There was no reason to believe (even after the fact) that
those inside would surrender rather than fight to the death. Even if
you attempt to starve them out, ignoring potential threats from outside
the building, they might choose to go out in a hail of gunfire. Indeed,
consider their decision tree. Faced with a vastly superior fighting
force, they refused surrender. Why? 1. They were not going to be taken
alive or 2. they believed they could extricate themselves.

Sure, they may have changed their minds (unlikely), but in any event,
the question becomes one of whether the lives of American soldiers should
be risked to capture rather than kill these butchers in battle.


#115 of 122 by oval on Sat Aug 2 12:35:31 2003:

they should take out the micheal jackson compound.



#116 of 122 by janc on Sat Aug 2 20:18:13 2003:

I agree that there is a very plausible justification for the high ransom
- we are trying to tempt people Saddam trusts to turn on him.  But I
still think that it is susceptable to spinning in a way that undermines
the American mission.


#117 of 122 by lk on Sun Aug 3 21:42:25 2003:

Yet it can also be read as determination to finish the job.
(Left undone a decade ago.)


#118 of 122 by janc on Mon Aug 4 13:30:17 2003:

If we were talking about an action that would have the potential to be
spun so negatively to the American public, Bush wouldn't have choosen
that course of action.  He wouldn't trust that he could control the spin
in the US.  I'm sure he's even less confident of his ability to control
the spin in the middle east.  If this were a question of how something
would be received by Americans, he'd have found another solution to the
problem that would spin better.  (I don't know what that would be in
this case.  maybe you set up an Iraqi police force, give them a huge
funding grant to help them catch Sadam (which they use largely to bribe
people).  I don't know exactly.  Our politicians are so much better at
inventing these devices than I am.)

If Bush really wanted to convince the middle east that he was in Iraq
for the good of the Iraqis, then he'd have to be doing a lot of things
differently.  This bribe is one.  Another thing that would make a huge
difference would be if you threw a lot of effort into getting sewage and
electrical systems up quickly in the major cities.  (No illusions about
this - it would be extremely hard to do - things were a mess long before
we arrived.)  Doing that would be an obvious good to many Iraqis.  It
would be a convincing demonstration that we are there to bring a higher
quality of life to Iraq.  Hey, give Halliburton the contract - they can
export a barrel of oil for each Iraqi they supply with adequate sewage,
water and electricity.

I think Bush and his gang have a vision of the future which is basically
an American Global Economic Empire.  A world where American can freely
exercise it's military power to ensure that things go the American way,
and where America need answer to no other nation.  That sounds good to
many Americans.  Not to me.  Bush's father started on a different course
when he went out of his way to bring the whole world in on the first
Iraq war.  He took a big step to establishing a world view where
American was a leader in a community of nations, but where other nations
were treated with respect.  In that sense, this second Bush war in Iraq
isn't a continuation of the first, but an erasure of the first.

If you have the power for it, acting the petty tyrant is a lot easier
than acting as a community leader.  It would certainly have been a great
deal harder to get anything done in Iraq if we had to coordinate with
the UN.  Too hard for the younger Bush, apparantly.  But in the long
term, working with the world would pay off.  Each time you do the job
that way, nations get more used to working with each other and trusting
each other.  You get slowly better at getting things done in that mode.
You build up credibility.  Which has all been flushed down the toilet
now, for the sake of being able to efficiently pursue Bush's objectives
in Iraq.

And why?  Where was the pressing national interest that demanded that we
trash our international crediability?  There was never any evidence that
Saddam was a imminent threat to the USA.  If there had been, as there
was in Afghanistan, there would be some excuse for unilateral action. 
But there isn't and never was.

They did it this way because they want the American Empire, not the
Community of Nations.  Lots of Americans agree.  I don't.

Add that to the "Patriot Act" kind of business, where American's rights
are restricted to concentrate more power in the government (is this a
Republican ideal?) and you have the two faces of why I hate Bush.  His
response to 9/11 has been to try to concentrate power in his own hands.
To do this he has actually been playing up the threat of terrorism,
making people even more scared than they legitimately need to be. 
That's not a "show of leadership in the face of terrorism", that's
"exploitation of the fear caused by terrorism for your own ends".


#119 of 122 by oval on Mon Aug 4 15:33:46 2003:

yes!!!



#120 of 122 by klg on Mon Aug 4 16:20:03 2003:

Opinionjournal.com  (8/1/03)

Meanwhile, the Associated Press reports that allied search teams 
have "found dozens of fighter jets from Iraq's air force buried beneath 
the sands." This took four months--and airplanes are a lot bigger than 
vials of gas or germs.


And, just for fun (or maybe they're serious):

Left Coast Quagmire
California is a desert land roughly the size of Iraq. It is also an 
object lesson in the dangers of trying to impose democracy in a culture 
that is not ready for it. California "is degenerating into a banana 
republic," writes former Enron adviser Paul Krugman in his New York 
Times column. Leon Panetta, himself a Californian, writes in the Los 
Angeles Times that California is undergoing a "breakdown in [the] trust 
that is essential to governing in a democracy." Newsday quotes Bob 
Mulholland, another California political activist, as warning of "a 
coup attempt by the Taliban element." Others say a move is under way 
to "hijack" California's government.
What isn't widely known is that the U.S. has a large military presence 
in California. And our troops are coming under attack from angry 
locals. "Two off-duty Marines were stabbed, one critically, when they 
and two companions were attacked by more than a dozen alleged gang 
members early Thursday," KSND-TV reports from San Diego, a city in 
California's south.
How many young American men and women will have to make the ultimate 
sacrifice before we realize it isn't worth it? Is the Bush 
administration too proud to ask the U.N. for help in pacifying 
California? Plainly California has turned into a quagmire, and the 
sooner we bring our troops back home, the better.


#121 of 122 by oval on Mon Aug 4 16:23:56 2003:

lol



#122 of 122 by gull on Tue Aug 12 19:11:37 2003:

Re #118: What you describe is basically the neo-conservative agenda when
it comes to foreign policy.  Even a lot of people on the right have
started to question the wisdom of it.  Unfortunately the damage that's
been done will take a long time to correct.


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