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Forbes Magazine Wind Rush Monday September 30, 4:19 pm ET By Victoria Murphy A new generation of wind power is online--and profitable. FPL En- ergy leads this tiny industry with the biggest project in the country. So far. Though wind, like other renewable energy sources such as solar and geothermal, benefits greatly from government tax credits and subsidies (like accelerated depreciation), it is closer to becom- ing a lucrative business even without the perks. Thanks to bigger, more efficient turbines, the cost of producing wind ener- gy is down 80% from ten years ago. In the race for efficiency, size matters. The turbines at State- line, designed by Danish maker Vestas, can produce 660 kilowatts each from a triplet of blades 75 feet long. With the hub 164 feet off the ground, that means the tip of an upright blade is about 240 feet up in the air. The turbine's power is six times that of its decade-old predecessors. Vestas now sells an even bigger machine, a 1.8-megawatt turbine that stretches to a height of 328 feet (see above). These monsters are in Germany and Canada. Higher is better. It is windier at higher elevations and, thanks to the laws of physics, the power in wind per square yard of area captured by the windmill blades is proportional to the cube of the wind's velocity. (The kinetic energy in a moving object of a given weight is proportional to the square of its velocity; and the weight of air passing a given spot is proportional to the air's speed. Multiply those factors and you get a cube.) Also, of course, longer blades cover more square yards than short ones. At some projects built in the late 1980s crews had to drive around several times a day to check whether the turbines were spinning. Today's turbines take care of themselves. Vestas' tur- bines self-adjust to sudden gusts by changing the blades' pitch and increasing rotor speed up to 10%. If gusts blow above 55 miles an hour, the turbine shuts itself down and waits until the wind slows for at least ten minutes before starting up again. This prevents damage to the gearbox. Motorized controls rotate the turbines so the hub faces into the wind. Better technology means less manpower to run Stateline: 20 maintenance guys for all 400 turbines, an 80% reduction in labor from FPL's older farms. At Stateline, 140 miles of fiber-optic cable connect turbines to a computer in a trailer. Operators re- motely monitor some 60 parameters, such as voltage spikes, gear- box temperature and oil viscosity in the generator. Wind still has one big limitation: Sometimes it just won't blow. With an intermittent source like wind, transmission lines go unused about two-thirds of the time, compared with conventional energy generators, which fill power lines 80% of the time. Gaps in transmission make wind energy twice as costly to transport for PacifiCorp Power Marketing, the wholesaler. Stateline may one day be overtaken by Rolling Thunder or some other large-scale wind project in the U.S. The next breakthrough--one that subsidy-happy developers might be shy to announce--will come when the cost of wind power falls far enough to wean it off our tax dollars.
5 responses total.
When visual pollution gets metrics like air and water pollution have, windmills will become noxious objects. I was at a "wind farm" on the edge of the North Atlantic this summer, and the landscape was as destroyed by the windmills as it would have been by an open pit mine.
Windmills also increase bird deaths, so siting is important. (There is more controversy than data on this issue: http://www.tompaine.com/feature.cfm/ID/4270)
Windmills do not affect the defense budget like petroleum does. I don't know of any cases of war over wind rights.
I could imagine it happening, though not in North America. There are wars over access to water. If wind became an important source of power, it wouldn't be surprising to see countries fighting over who had access to the most productive hilltops.
Bidding wars, maybe, but fights? Get real. All one side would have to do is "lose", wait while the other guy installs all the foundations and puts up the turbines, then take the territory back with all the capital improvements. Power lines re-route too easily. Ground-based wind may not even be the best way to capture it; look up Bryan Roberts on the web.
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