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The Bulletin of the
Institute for Transportation & Development Policy ([13]ITDP)
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Iraqi Flooded with Cars in Occupation's Wake [24]top
In addition to the country's more pressing concerns, the
administrative chaos following U.S. occupation of Iraq has led to a
rapid influx of used cars.
Under Saddam Hussein, automobiles carried an import tariff of close to
100%. Combined with little free capital, this led to very low levels
of motorization, despite the low price of gasoline. In the 12 months
since the U.S. invasion of Iraq, tariffs have not been enforced. This
has lead to well over half a billion dollars worth of car purchases
coming in from one port alone, according to people familiar with these
shipments interviewed by ITDP.
A Dutch car, with no plates,
on the way to the Iraq border
Initially, adjacent countries like Jordan and Saudi Arabia emptied out
their used cars into Iraq. Remaining demand for higher quality
vehicles then created a supply chain that brings used cars from
Europe, Japan and elsewhere into Iraq through ports in Jordan and
Saudi Arabia. One port became so full of cars that all other shipments
were disrupted. To clear the way, the shippers bought empty land
nearby to use as storage.
The remains of a used car shipment into Aqaba (Jordan) awaiting
transfer into Iraq
The mid-nineties models sell for about $3000 in Iraq. Receiving ports
earn about $20-30 a car, and the shipper gets $100 a car. The vehicles
come in on container ships with 2,000-3,000 cars, which are emptied
within 48 hours, creating a convoy of cars and car trailers from the
port to Iraq.
Since last April, over 250,000 cars are estimated as having gone into
Iraq from Aqaba. Minivans are particularly popular.
The resulting motorization has already led to congestion in Baghdad's
streets, but the consequences of this rapid influx of cars are
potentially far-reaching. As Iraq rebuilds, traffic jams will likely
lead to pressure to spend scarce public resources on road building.
Because these are older vehicles, and no emissions controls are in
place, Iraq's car fleet will be far more polluting than its western
counterparts.
Motor vehicles are a poor investment, especially in a weak economy.
Economic growth rates are lower in countries with higher levels of
elite consumption (which includes non-essential car ownership),
because it leaves less for investment and savings. Meanwhile, though
profits are made all along the supply chain stretching from European
used car dealers to the Iraqi end user, the Iraqi government is too
much in disarray to capture any taxes and import duties. Iraq will be
paying for this year of chaos for decades to come.
For further details on the rapid motorization of Iraq and its
consequences,
contact ITDP at [25]iraqcars@itdp.org
3. http://www.itdp.org/index.html
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