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Author Message
25 new of 406 responses total.
scott
response 83 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 26 23:21 UTC 2000

Scott Adams (author of the "Dilbert" comic strip) came up with a theory for
gravitation which he claimed nobody he talked to could actually refute.  His
theory was that everything was constantly getting larger, and because of
inertia we end up sticking to large objects as if there really was gravity.
Since everything grows at the same rate, we can't perceive the change.
mary
response 84 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 26 23:33 UTC 2000

If I vote for Nader I'll be able to respect myself in the morning.  He is
by far the best candidate.  And I don't care how many times I hear the
rest of you whores say it - voting for Nader is not wasting a vote.  It
may be the most meaningful vote I'll ever cast. 

But I am curious - how bad can your man be before you finally say, "No"?
mcnally
response 85 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 26 23:49 UTC 2000

  Years ago, as part of my humanities sequence at U of M, I took a bunch of
  Philosophy classes, one of which was Professor Sklar's perennially popular
  "Space, Time, and Space-Time."

  Along with a lot of stuff about counterintuitive implications of general
  and special relativity and a bunch of quibbling about what it means for
  events to occur "simulatenously" at different points in space, I remember
  discussing a fair number of ideas similar to that "expanding universe"
  theory (although I don't understand what you mean by the "inertia" part of
  the theory..) and how to deduce whether a universe was undergoing some
  motion or transformation (rotating, expanding, contracting) that would be
  undetectable or at least not directly observable by someone whose frame
  of reference was inside the universe in question.

  I should go back and see if I've still got the texts around somewhere and
  refresh my recollection of the class material -- I'm afraid I've forgotten
  a great deal of it at this point.  If it's still being taught, though, I
  would recommend the class to anyone at U of M looking for a class where they
  can stretch their brains around some unusual questions..

gull
response 86 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 00:59 UTC 2000

Re #82: Of course, someone is bound to point out that we can observe that
the Solar System is heliocentric more or less directly, while it's a lot
harder to observe evolution.  We've observed natural selection, but that's
only half of the evolutionary process.
polygon
response 87 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 01:30 UTC 2000

Re 81.  Unlike some of the other folks here, I'm not saying that you're
wasting your vote, etc.; voting for one candidate or another is something
only you can decide based on your personal priorities.  However, I do
disagree with your choice, and I take issue with some of your reasoning. 

> But if Nader is able to get 15% (I think that's the number) of the
> popular vote, the Green Party will be included in debates during the
> next race.

Nope, the commission debates are based on poll numbers, not votes in past
elections.  You get invited if you're at 15% or better in the polls. 
Doesn't matter what you got when you ran before. 

As to the Green platform, I think what was meant by "bullshit" was stuff
that you might not savor your candidate supporting.  The Greens have
gotten into some very strange stuff at times.  On the other hand, it must
be said that Nader is not a party member and has been careful not to
endorse the platform, last I heard. 

> I'm sick of having to settle for voting for the lesser of two evils

Then you need to move to a country with a parliamentary system.  The U.S. 
is set up in such a way that "third" parties cannot survive; they can
quickly become one of the Big Two, or they can quickly sink into
irrelevance.  This is fundamental to the way our government is structured. 
Regardless who you vote for, yes, in the U.S. you will have to "settle
for" being governed by someone nominated by the Big Two, with rare
exceptions. 

Example: within the last three decades or so, I can think of three states
-- Maine, Connecticut, and Minnesota -- which elected governors running on
third party tickets.  However, they had to deal with legislatures
completely dominated by the Big Two.  Jesse Ventura remains in office, but
alienated from his party; when the other two left office, they were
immediately replaced with Big Two successors.  So, all these movements
were very short-lived.

> He wouldn't have a chance in the Democratic primary, and he knew it.
> Bradley was a better candidate than Gore in most ways, but everyone knew
> Gore would win the primary because he has name recognition.

Nader would not have had a chance in the primaries because he has
non-mainstream views.  Note that Nader's name recognition is excellent,
but it would not have helped him.  Name recognition, anyway, is an issue
for lower-level elections, not presidential campaigns, which get tons of
media attention. 

As to Bradley, he was doing quite well.  He was leading in New Hampshire,
and had he won there, he might well have toppled Gore.  But then he
exasperated us all with his lack of presidential candidate qualities. 
"SHOW SOME HUMOR, BILL! SMILE!" we all shouted, but he just glowered at
the cameras and acted like he wanted to be someplace else.  You can't
expect to get elected president if you won't show some interest in
winning. 

> You can't win a primary if you're trying to buck the party machinery. 

Oh, come on.  Read some history.  Do the names "George McGovern" and
"Barry Goldwater" ring a bell?  Both of them deliberately *wrecked* the
pre-existing party machinery.

> Nader's criticisms of campaign funding would also ring pretty
> hollow if he were a member of *either* major party -- McCain suffered
> that credibility problem.  He was basically saying, "I don't think
> it's right to do what I've just been doing."

Imagine a city which allows untreated sewage to flow directly into the
river.  A politician in that city runs for mayor, saying, this practice is
polluting the river and needs to be changed.  Would you say he has no
credibility because his OWN body wastes are flowing into the river and
adding to that pollution?  How could this ever be changed if outsiders to
the city were the only ones who had the right to intervene?
mcnally
response 88 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 01:54 UTC 2000

  re #87:  "Imagine a city which allows untreated dewage to flow directly
            into the river.."

  those of us who hail from west Michigan don't have to imagine, we've got
  Grand Rapids upstream..

richard
response 89 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 01:56 UTC 2000

ralph nader has never held political office, he's a consumer advocate--
he's a very intelligent man whohasbee3n an effectiveadvocate,but that
doesnt make him remotely qualified to be president.  What experience
does he have in making comprises, of representing varied and sometimes
conflictinginterests of a constituency?  I think it is highly 
irresponsible to vote for someone for presidentwho has never held 
public office, who doesnt have a voting record, and for whom you donthave
a fair method of measuring how he'd do in office. (do you even know who
Nader's vp candidate is and what his views are or does it matter inNader's
case?)

mary if you vote for nader, and bush get elected, how is your vote more
meaningful?  will you feel that way when bush appoints conservative
justices who might uphold cda and grex ceases to exist?  or that pass a
constitutional amendment banning your right to have a legal abortion?
the bush people LOVED the factthat people like you might passupvoting for
Gore and vote for Nader,because they know it puts them one vote closer to
election.  And I stilldont see how you expect any candidate to hold 100%
of your views.  

gelinas
response 90 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 03:07 UTC 2000

Some of the above comments about Bush reminded me of Heinlein's scenario for
the first woman President of the United States.
gull
response 91 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 03:27 UTC 2000

Re #89: Bush has held only one public office that I know of.  He's been
governor of a state that gives very little power to its governor.  I don't
think that makes him particularly qualified, either.  I think Gore is by far
the most qualified person in the race, and if I were voting purely on that
I'd vote for him.
senna
response 92 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 04:00 UTC 2000

You're still making the same arguments, richard, and they aren't convincing
anybody of anything except that you're a party sheep.  Mary clearly feels
strongly about her vote, and she's put more thought into it than you appear
to have.  Note her declaration that others are "whores." :)  

I plan to consider my decision to vote carefully.  I haven't made up my mind
yet.  I may simply move to Canada.
gelinas
response 93 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 04:05 UTC 2000

From what I saw in the AANews a week or so ago, that may not help:  Some
Canadians half expect it to be absorbed into the US before much longer.
scg
response 94 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 04:28 UTC 2000

I think Richard is coming off as whining, which makes his point seem almost
irrelevant, but what he's trying to say is right.

Let's say you've got three candidates, A, B, and C.  A and B are neck and
neck.  C is polling at 3 percent, and and doesn't appear to be convincing
a large percentage of potential voters to change their minds and vote for him.
C is wonderful, agrees with you on every important issue, is really smart,
and has tons of useful experience.  A doesn't seem to know what he's talking
about half the time, disagrees with you on everything you consider important.
B is ok.  You aren't particularly excited about B, but B does agree with you
on a lot of the important issues, and seems pretty competent.  How would you
vote?

The first step in determining how to vote is to figure out what you are trying
to achieve.  There are a number of possible goals:

1 Keep A from winning and destroying the world
2 Elect B because he has a chance and will do a decent job
3 Elect C because he will be a wonderful President
4 Vote for C even though he has no chance, to make a point

Of those, 3 has very little chance of being successful.  4 may make your
point, but won't affect the outcome of the election.  If you want to do
something with a good chance of affecting the outcome of the election, the
options available are 1 and 2, which both involve voting for B.

This is muddied only slightly for the situation being discussed here, because
I have yet to see somebody arguing that Nader would be a good President.  Are
those of you who are talking about voting for Nader doing so because you
really would be happy to find out on election night that Ralph Nader was going
to be the next President of the US, or is voting for Nader just a more
dramatic way of not voting for Gore or Bush?
gelinas
response 95 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 04:36 UTC 2000

Marcus seems to think Nader will be at least an OK President; you may want
to re-read his responses on the subject.
richard
response 96 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 05:06 UTC 2000

marcus doesnt know whonader's vp is, doesnt know the green party;s
platform...he knows nader by reputation....hell I like Nader, but not
as president!  I wanthim out there a hard assed consumer advocate suing
gm for making lousy power windows

polygon
response 97 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 05:09 UTC 2000

I remember a situation where there were two candidates for an important
office.

    Candidate A was a reasonable, well-intentioned guy, middle of the
    road, not super bright, with a positive outlook, very personable, and
    a Republican. 

    Candidate B was a brilliant, dark, cynical guy, an extremely heavy
    drinker, calculating, involved in many feuds, and a liberal Democrat.

Candidate A was the incumbent and the assumed easy winner.

Janice and I knew both of these guys pretty well.  At the outset of the
campaign, she was supporting Candidate A, and I was supporing Candidate B.

Then a poll came out that suggested that Candidate B might have a chance
of being elected.  Somehow, that had an impact on the way we saw the race.

When Election Day came along, I voted for Candidate A, and Janice voted
for Candidate B.
rcurl
response 98 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 06:38 UTC 2000

Re #86: oh yeah? If heliocentricity is so easy to observe, why did the
west have it wrong for so many centures, persecute Galelio, probably
execute a whole bunch of people for asserting it, etc? It was better
instrumentation that eventually won the case. On the other hand, the fact
(!) of evolution was staring everybody in the face, without a need for
better instrumentation, as there was no other logical conclusion to the
obvious macroscopic succession of species characteristics in the geologic
column (though closed mindedness also made that take centuries to be
accepted). 

bdh3
response 99 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 08:14 UTC 2000

re#97: You shoulda voted for Koster.
mdw
response 100 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 09:06 UTC 2000

Re#96 - I don't actually care who Nader's VP is.  I trust his judgement
on that far more than either Gore/Bush, and excepting the relatively
rare unthinkable happening, the VP has not been a particularly important
office anyways.  Yup, I agree the Green party has some pretty nutty
ideas.  So?  The democrats & republicans have some pretty nutty ideas
too.  I think some of the green party's nutty ideas might actually be
good for the country.  For instance, I think some of the green party's
reasoning on nuclear power is pretty el wacko, but I think their
conclusion that they're bad & ought to go away is spot on - as mass
intelligence goes, humankind doesn't seem to be smart enough not to shit
in its own diapers yet, and I think we need to do some more work on our
collective toilet training before we can be truested with nukes.
Seriously, though, I don't expect them to come to power, so my interest
is more in seeing them become a serious part of the political dialog, so
that their *good* ideas can at least be picked up, rather than an actual
expectation that they will displace both the republican and democratic
parties and become sole and exclusive rulers of this part of the
universe.

Here's an idea: perhaps the US ought to instead join Canada.  We could
then adopt their parliamentary and healthcare systems.  The Canadians
can then worry about cross-cultural issues such as the integration in
the SE, and setting up a spanish multi-lingual society in the SW.
Relocating the capital to Ottawa has an obvious immediate benefit in
reducing the population of beltway bandits, & placing hot air farther
north, where it will be better moderated by cold artic air.  Perhaps we
could then induce Mexico to join.  The problem with NAFTA was it didn't
go far enough; partial economic union, without the shared
responsibilities and advantages of a single shared political and social
system.

Re #30,$29 - no, actually I wasn't talking about the entertainment
industry.  I was talking about the news media.  I don't expect Gore
would be saying much directed against the news media.  He doesn't have
to; he's a creature of the same large corporations that already
basically own the traditional news empires.  I'd expect to hear him talk
about drugs, terrorists, violence, & sex in the entertainment industry,
& on the internet, and I'd expect to hear a lot of words like
"responsible use", and "non-partisan" committees, internet fraud,
"industry watchmen" and "industry standards" and even "common decency".
I fear he might well foster a series of bills, kinda like CDA only a bit
more denatured, directed against the various assorted evils.  I'd expect
that increasingly, on the internet especially, it would become
simultaneously much harder and more risky for small information
providers to exist, while becoming easier to provide information on a
larger information provider, provided one is willing to accept more
control over what one says, and more risk if one says the wrong thing.
Some of that control could be by the gov't - the FBI's Carnivore.  Some
of that control could be industry - how about a mandatory web rating
system?  I don't really expect much change to the entertainment
industry, except politics might become even scarcer (if that were
possible), and certain kinds of controversial subjects might become
tabboo.
jerryr
response 101 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 13:42 UTC 2000

i believe mr. nader is appearing on late night with david letterman, tomorrow
nite (thurs)
tpryan
response 102 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 16:41 UTC 2000

When was the last time a new party became one of the Big Two?  For 
the Republicans, it was Abe Lincon, 1860.  Was he the first Republican
in Washington?  That is, without Senators and Representatives being in
office before that party winning the Presidentcy.   What was the 
progression for the Democrats  when they started gaining power?
flem
response 103 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 17:20 UTC 2000

(Since this item is dangerously close to losing its drift content...)

re resp:82 - Yes, I would dispute that heliocentricity is a fact.  
The heliocentric *theory*, based on mechanics, predicts where the
observed locations of planets and such will be w.r.t. various fixed 
stars, other planets, etc.  The only *facts* in the case are the 
actual observed locations of said planets and such.  Since these
observations tend to be in very good agreement to the predictions,
scientists quite correctly conclude that it is a very good theory.  
  Here's my key point, in this and several similar arguments:  just 
because there are no observations which contradict a theory, does not
mean the theory is "correct".  Consider what you would think if
someone had told you in 1990 that Fermat's last theorem was a fact.
"But it's never been proved", you might say, to which your informant 
might respond, "Oh, they've shown it to be true for all n less than
200,000; it must be true."  Science does not have access to the 
kinds of that can produce *facts*.  It's not possible.  All of the
conclusions of science, all the great discoveries, are just theories.
The business of science is the evaluation of the predictive value 
of theories, and no more.  To call scientific theories "facts" is 
explicitly to deny the most fundamental truth of science: that we can
never, ever, be completely sure that we're right.  
cmcgee
response 104 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 17:22 UTC 2000

Mr. Gore appeared on MTV yesterday, broadcast from the UM North Campus (Thanks
for scheduling it at the same time as I was trying to teach).

[from NYTimes, Wed, Sep 27, 200] One student told Mr. Gore he was tempted
to vot for Ralph Nader, the Green Party candidate, and challenged him to
"assure me that a vote for Al Gore is a conscientious vote, not simply a
vote for the lesser of two evils."  Mr Gore cited his support for tough
environmental enforcement and consumer protections. 

"I don't think anybody wants to feel like they have no options," Mr. Gore
said.  "At the same time, they don't want to cast a meaningless vote that
doesn't have an impact on the outcome."
senna
response 105 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 17:38 UTC 2000

Joining Canada is a bad idea, although I think a parliamentary system of
representation would do a good job of distributing idealogies better *and*
getting people to vote.  
polygon
response 106 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 18:02 UTC 2000

Re 105.  A parliamentary system would mean a very different style of
governing, top to bottom.  It would probably take Americans quite a
while to get used to it.  The transition period might be pretty hairy.
rcurl
response 107 of 406: Mark Unseen   Sep 27 18:05 UTC 2000

The parliamentary system also has some very big negatives, which include
having to form coalitions of numerous parties, the defection of some
of which can bring down a government. It is a question of the respective
merits of that kind of chaos, which is actually more representive,
versus a stable but time-limited, "winner take almost all", government,
such as we have. Maybe it is a matter of whether the people want to be
entertained as well as served by their government. 8^}
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