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Author Message
25 new of 216 responses total.
rcurl
response 187 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 13 18:39 UTC 2000

Well, whatever immediate public approval they may garner in conceding,
it will fade pretty quickly. "The spoils go to the victor." Maybe it can
be dragged back up in some fashion in some future situation, but still
doesn't have much currency. Political losers almost always are very
gracious. Nixon's gracious concession has been mentioned (but not his
"..won't have Nixon to kick around any more..").
ashke
response 188 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 13 18:47 UTC 2000

A machine just is.  I don't care if you think the design makes some major
factor in the operation of the machine, it thinks A+B=C because you tell it
that.  You say what the factors are and it does them.  To precision.  You
might think they reduce the number compared to human error, but it does what
it is programmed to do.  No more, no less.  A wheel spins.  Now you can think
of the width, the tread, and the diameter in getting to your distance, but
to the wheel, it turns.  That is the function.  It goes round and round.
So if you want to say that because of the design of the machine and the
comprimises made within, the machine cannot verify a partial punch because
they couldn't allow for it....machine says "Punch in A=A...Partial punch in
A= ...Nonpunch in A= ...."  Because that's what you told it.  

Engineers want it to produce the end result with the lowest amount of
perceeved errors.  Generally designs are made up, programs are written, and
then debugging or error correction occur, not before.  They also want a
machine that can do the job with as little personal handling and programming
time as possible.  A box is a box until you tell it that it has another
function and it can understand that.  
janc
response 189 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 13 19:02 UTC 2000

If Gore loses this election, he is never going to be nominated again.  A great
concession speech would do the country a lot of good, but won't help his
political future.  I doubt if he'd have any.  Bush as loser would still have
more of a political career - as governor of Texas, for starters.  The question
of how the loser acts will say a lot about whether he was out there looking
out for himself or looking out for the country.
jiffer
response 190 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 13 20:03 UTC 2000

Mary, if a machine just "is", then there is no use for engineers.  
However, while a wheel does spin, there are always potential errors that 
may occur.  This isn't just for computers but also for various machines 
where there are a lot of variables.  Shit happens.

I really can't believe how crazy this election is versus previous years.
rcurl
response 191 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 13 20:12 UTC 2000

Well, ashke, since you now agree with me, we have that question settled.

I don't agree with #189. Gore is young, and can serve the nation in many
ways. I don't see that he is fatally injured politically by losing. It
all depends on what he does. 
richard
response 192 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 13 21:14 UTC 2000

the judge today ruled against bush's request for an injunction to
stop the manual recounts.  Assuming the manual recounts go forward, there
is a strong chance Gore will end up winning and be president.  The Bush
people did not play their cards right, they let the deadlines for
requesting manual recounts pass in the counties where Bush is ahead. But
thats the way it goes.  

Of course, if Gore wins, there is all but guaranteed to be a no holds
barred rematch with Bush in 2004.
aaron
response 193 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 13 21:18 UTC 2000

I doubt it. Gore didn't capture the imagination of the American people, even
after eight years as Vice President. He is even less likely to do so after
four years on the sidelines.
ashke
response 194 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 13 21:19 UTC 2000

Jenn, I was saying that even though you may design a machine to do it's
function, once you make it, it does what it's told, good intentions to the
side.  It just is.  A calculator will not balance your checkbook or find lost
money for you.  It does simple math equations (dependingon the model you have,
some do complex graphing and equations).  But based upon the emotions and
intent that you use this machine does not give it the qualities you desire.
The voting machines count dots, for the punch cards.  Not partial dots, not
semi dots, and they are supposed to reject double dots where there should be
one.  If you want to say it is to make less errors on the part of human
counting, fine, but the machine just counts dots.
gelinas
response 195 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 13 21:25 UTC 2000

I would hope that Republicans would recognise their error and NOT re-nominate
Mr. Bush.  We'll see.
richard
response 196 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 13 22:08 UTC 2000

well Gore would make the argument that how do you call him a bad
candidate when (fact) he got more votes than any other democratic
candidate in history.  and won the popular vote.  I think Bush is so
popular with the gop insiders that he would easily get re-nominated, even
after being on the sidelines for four years.
rcurl
response 197 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 00:35 UTC 2000

Re #194: a machine doesn't "just count dots". It has no idea what a "dot"
is. It responds to different levels of light intensity, or some other
intermediate variable, which is affected by the way in which a chad is
pushed out, or bent, or hangs, or a fly larvae does the same, or 
innumerable factors intervene. Even power dips would affect it (unless
a UPS is built in - a design decision). Same for the machine that counts
arrow connections - the pens and pencils are variable, new or worn out or
between, writers press lightly or heavily, or even can't draw a straight
line. Again, a manual inspection can detect many of these "almost dots"
or "almost connections", but the machine may or may not, depending on
its design. Probably the variability of the "target" causes the largest
variance, but the design and operation of the machine can affect that too.
mdw
response 198 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 01:49 UTC 2000

In a properly designed system, the machine *should* be more accurate.
It won't forget to carry the ones, drop a pile of cards behind the pop
machine, or get drunk and have a headache.  In an improperly designed
system, the humans are going to be more accurate, because they can
examine the partially pressed out chad, see the mark made by the voter's
pen, and make a "best guess" as to who the voter intended to vote for.
The machine hasn't got millions of years of evolution behind any guess
it might make, all it has got is consistency based on the relatively
lousy sensors its designers gave it, and the arbitrary mathematical
constraints on the output of that sensor that its designers programmed
into it.  The humans may be victims of boredom.  The machine can be a
victim of "garbage-in, garbage-out", and unless it's really dramatically
wrong, nobody will even notice.
scott
response 199 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 02:16 UTC 2000

Whoever says Gore doesn't have a future should look at the record of Richard
Nixon.  He was a washed up ex-vice-president who lost his first bid for
president, then years later came back and won two terms.  OK, not very fairly,
but he did recover in a way.
wh
response 200 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 03:32 UTC 2000

Someone from Palm Beach County said on NPR tonight said they hope
to have the manual recount done by 9 pm Sunday. The secretary of state
is insisting on all results being turned in by 5 pm Tuesday.
gelinas
response 201 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 04:59 UTC 2000

Re 199:  And Grover Cleveland failed to be re-elected, and then got the
office back four years later.  Yes, a candidate _can_ come back, but it's
not easy.  Cleveland and Nixon are notable as exceptions.
polygon
response 202 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 05:08 UTC 2000

Nixon and Gore also have unappealing public personalities in common.

Cleveland won in 1892, yes, but he could not have been nominated again
in 1896 -- even if he had wanted to -- because the Democratic Party was
taken over by the silver advocates by then.  Cleveland was what they
used to call a Gold Democrat.
albaugh
response 203 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 05:10 UTC 2000

> The secretary of state is insisting on all results being turned in by 
5 pm Tuesday. <

And that would be because that's the state law in Florida.


gelinas
response 204 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 05:14 UTC 2000

OK, so I don't know the dates so many started their service.  Mentioning '96
and silver reminds me of "you shall not crucify man on a cross of gold"
(roughly).  Which means that was the year McKinley won, so Cleveland's terms
were 1874 and 1892?  With Harrison winning in 1878?
polygon
response 205 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 05:14 UTC 2000

Re 203.  The attorney for the Florida association of election officials
(who sounded like more a practical than a partisan guy, which is what
you'd expect of someone in that position) says that there is a
contradiction in state law: there is provision for holding recounts but
not time allowed to conduct them.
polygon
response 206 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 05:18 UTC 2000

Re 204.  Cleveland was elected in 1884 and served 1885-89.  Benjamin
Harrison was elected (with fewer popular votes than Cleveland) in 1888
and served 1889-93.  Cleveland was again elected in 1892 and served
1893-97.  1896 was the year of the "Cross of Gold" speech, and William
Jennnings Bryan was nominated by the Democrats; McKinley was elected,
and served 1897-1901.  McKinley was re-elected in 1900 and assassinated
in 1901.  Theodore Roosevelt became president when McKinley died.

Clear as mud?

1884 was the year of "Ma, Ma, Where's My Pa?" (Cleveland was said to
have fathered a child out of wedlock) and "Rum, Romanism, and Rebellion"
(an anti-Catholic minister who supported Blaine said that the Democratic
Party was the party of those 3 R's, and helped tip Irish Catholics into
Cleveland's camp).
gelinas
response 207 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 05:25 UTC 2000

I dropped a decade.  We all know I can't add. :)
senna
response 208 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 05:55 UTC 2000

I don't think Bush would necessarily be the choice nominee in the next
election, should he lose;  the fervor over John McCain is bound to turn *some*
GOP heads.  Especially after such unspectacular candidates failed to press
their numerous opportunities to take a clear lead.
rcurl
response 209 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 07:14 UTC 2000

Re #202: I think that Gore's public personality has *vastly improved* now that
the campaign is over! People were always saying he is quite an engaging man,
but he didn't come across that way in debate or orating on the campaign
trail. I think we will see (another) different Gore, now. He seems to be
a man whose manner shifts unconsciously depending upon the situation he
is in. This might be why he is accused of "reinventing himself". It may
actually be an interesting personality characteristic, and may even be
predictable. 
aaron
response 210 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 15:02 UTC 2000

At the court hearing on the deadline for return of the recount, it was
pointed out that there are two contrary provisions of Florida election law,
one stating that vote counts returned after the seven-day deadline must be
excluded, and one stating that they *may* be excluded. The judge was
reportedly curious as to why the 7-day deadline was so important, when the
election could not be concluded until Friday due to write-in votes. The
state did not have a good answer. The judge was also curious as to how the
contest procedure set forth by statute could be observed in a county as
large as Palm Beach County, if the time constraints prevented any manual
recount from being conducted. Apparently, the state tried to argue that the
need for finality overrides the need to conduct full recounts. A ruling
is supposed to be issued at 10:30 this morning.

Somebody told me that Gore is introverted by nature, and is uncomfortable
with his public personality. His "reinventing himself" may be more of a
reflection of that discomfort, and his trying to find a comfort level, than
anything else.
janc
response 211 of 216: Mark Unseen   Nov 14 15:50 UTC 2000

Apparantly several Florida counties, including Palm Beach, have halted the
manual recounts, being intimidated by the threats not to count any counties
that turn in their results after 5pm today.

Another crystal ball prediction:  Jeb Bush is *not* getting re-elected in
Florida after this campaign by the Florida Republicans to not count the votes
of their constituents.  I predict a "count *this* vote, Mr Bush" movement.

A musical interlude:  

  An exerpt from "Duet for One" from Leonard Bernstein's "White House Cantata"
  in which the same singer sings the role of the outgoing First Lady Julia
  Grant and the incoming First Lady Lucy Hayes.  Rutherford Hayes ran against
  Tilden in an election that has vague points of familiarity.  Read Clinton
  for Grant, and variously Bush/Gore for Hayes/Tilden.

   MRS GRANT:
   Is it Hayes or is it Tilden?
   Somehow no one seems to know.
   Thirteen weeks for counting ballots
   I would say is rather slow.

   I have packed up all the bourbon,
   Told them where to send the mail,
   While the people march in circles
   Wondering who the hell to hail!

   CHORUS:
   Hail!  Who?
   Hail!  Who?
   Hail to the man who...
   Hail!
   Without whom...
   Hail!
   Who needs no...
   Hail!
   The man I am proud to...
   Hail!
   It gives me....
   Hail!
   I give you...

   Rutherford B. Hayes!

   MRS. GRANT:
   Not Rutherford B. Hayes!

   CHORUS:
   Hail Hayes!
   Praise Hayes!

   MRS. GRANT:
   Good God.

   [...]

   MRS. GRANT:
   He's making the oath a four-letter word,
   And making the eagle a hawk.
   He thinks no one knows what really occured,
   But I do and I'm dying to talk. Yah!
   They counted the ballots and when they were done.
   Oo ow!  Oo ow!
   Far behind Tilden had Rutherford run.
   Meow!  Meow!
   So they counted again, again one by one,
   They counted and counted 'til Rutherford won.
   And now
   That dow
   Is the

   MRS. HAYES:
   First lady, first lady,
   Very first lady of the land.
   The bouquet of bouuquets,
   I'm the whole U.S.A.'s
   Lucy Hayes!
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